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Strategies & Market Trends : DAYTRADING Fundamentals -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TraderAlan who wrote (10660)11/18/2000 2:54:36 PM
From: Dominick  Respond to of 18137
 
TraderAlan

Baring short term and swing trades, direct access and computers will have a significant effect on investors when they're tempted to time the market via ongoing technology. They become more intimate with the market.

I did some studies years ago using Ibbottson's "Stocks, Bonds, and Inflation" data on the S&P 500. Using the monthly stats and monthly dollar cost averaging, the recovery period was much shorter. And this wasn't counting reinvested dividends.

If I remember correctly, they're only a few short periods during the year the market makes most of its gains. Missing just a couple of days due to trying to time the market, cut about 50% of the gain.

Having a hunch about human nature, I'd say the more intimate the public gets with the market along with reports by analysts and newsletters, the greater the temptation to play.

JMHO,

Dominick



To: TraderAlan who wrote (10660)11/20/2000 5:34:54 PM
From: TraderAlan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18137
 
Bubble into black hole:

CMGI 1/03/2000: 163 1/2
CMGI 11/20/2000: 12 1/16
Loss: 93%

Web = R.I.P.

Cramer had an interesting piece on the expected Net bankrupcies right after Xmas sales, as their cash...and dreams run out. Sure seems like the survivors will make for a nice investment or a tradeable rally at some point.

Stay lean and mean. There is a hell of a bottom out there somewhere. I'm going to stay optimistic and say this feels like 1994.

Alan