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To: axial who wrote (9230)	11/23/2000 11:04:34 PM
From: Scott C. Lemon	Respond to of 12823

Hello Jim, > Hello, Scott - Just curious...why do you think that > 802.11b will attain such success, in view of the higher > data rates of 802.11a? So, IMHO, the momentum of 802.11b (with over 60+ interoperable vendors shipping products) is growing so quickly that it will be well entrenched by the time that 802.11a product start to hit the shelves. The higher data rate 802.11a is also only higher data rates at half the distance. So I see it more of a solution for access to internal server resources, or fast peer to peer. What good is it to have 54Mbps access to the Internet at an airport if the connection at the airport is not a T3+? But I could see 802.11a eventually being used in businesses, and then rolling to public access locations. Also, I see that there is going to be a good political battle which is going to rage between 802.11a and the European HyperLAN proposals ... this will effect the "standardization" process. In the end, I believe that 802.11b will move forward and become well seeded, and then eventually the new wireless standards will arrive and run in parallel to the 802.11b installations. My guess? 2002+ > I realize that Bluetooth and 802.11b are not equivalents, > but do you not suspect that Bluetooth, which is predicted > to reach huge volumes (and therefore, low unit prices) > will steal market share from 802.11b? IMHO, you will see 802.11b and Bluetooth running in the same machines ... different purposes. The Bluetooth PAN technologies are very well designed to replace the IrDA solutions ... but can't provide 10Mbps+ like 802.11b can. I really see 802.11b as becoming a low-cost solution which will gain quick ubiquity for a year or two, and then be complimented with the next solution ... If you go read the last dozen+ posts on the Intersil thread (ISIL) you'll see some similar analysis ... Scott C. Lemon (Posted via 802.11b while sitting at a friends house after a great Thanksgiving dinner ... ;-)