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Technology Stocks : LAST MILE TECHNOLOGIES - Let's Discuss Them Here -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Frank A. Coluccio who wrote (9271)	11/22/2000 11:27:50 PM
From: ftth	Respond to of 12823

I guess I don't think it's likely until we have a stabilization in the markets, standards, and (a couple generations of) products for in-home distribution from the STB (which generally sits near the TV in the "entertainment" room) to the rooms with PC's. That is assuming you meant supplant the "data modem" not just STB's with video modems. That's at least a couple years out, based simply on the wireless chaos that currently exists. By then, FTTH (100M or Gb Ethernet based) will have everybody's (equipment vendors that is) attention<hopefully>. Or, enough so that I think the model for the STB architecture and in-home distribution will start to change in consideration of the impending realization that FTTH/GbE is the only delivery model that makes sense economically and logistically. * wireless means "no new wiring needs to be installed," i.e. it includes phone lines and power lines. ***I base this attention measure on the "percentage of stupid looks and rolling eyes" indicator, which currently stands at about 96% when FTTH/GbE is brought up among a general technical audience. When it drops below about 40%, that is a key milestone and the resistance has been broken <gg>.