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Technology Stocks : WDC/Sandisk Corporation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Michael Kim who wrote (16807)11/23/2000 1:08:04 AM
From: The Prophet  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 60323
 
For those who do not recall, it was approximately 1 year ago that a quake in Taiwan led to a 50% fall in the price of SNDK. In the subsequent 3 months, SNDK rose 500%.

And, for those who do not go back 2 years, please recall that approximately 2 years ago, there was a misunderstood stock which also fell nearly 50%, from 75 to 38. That stock proceeded to rise nearly 4000% over the next 12 months. Of course, it was the Q.

And finally, last year at this time, another equity fell approx 40% from a high of near 100 to 60 or so. Over the next 3 months, that stock rose 600%. The Bus.

Happy Thanksgiving. Those who choose to remember generally will sleep well.

The Prophet



To: Michael Kim who wrote (16807)11/24/2000 2:05:54 PM
From: Ausdauer  Respond to of 60323
 
Aus, make it stop

Mike, I would make it stop if I could.

Believe me, stock ownership in SanDisk should
include provisions for an IRS write-off for Zantac.

A couple of points...

1) Consumer spending in my area for the holidays is expected
to be up 4 to 5% in 2000 after a banner 1999. In the
Midwest region unemployment remains low and the general
feeling is that consumers will be willing to spend.

2) Most e-tailers that show consumer interest in electronics
purchases list digital cameras high in their lists. PDA's and
flash cards are also popular.

3) SanDisk is still fundamentally sound. I think the last
three patents that were awarded are an indication of SanDisk's
considerable R&D efforts. Two of the patents indicated that
SanDisk is applying the lessons from the development of
MLC technology (multibit per cell) to devise new controller
technology. As a leader in this area they will be able to
establish themselves on a manufacturing level while building
an IP moat around their core product lines. From all I have
read it would appear that MLC is very technically demanding.
It is a double-edged sword. It will allow for great economies
once perfected, but also is subject to lower yields if manufacturing
tolerances are exceeded. We should know very soon how well Dominion
has been prepared and outfitted to produce MLC NAND. Knowing
that Toshiba and SanDisk are placing high hopes on this cooperative
mission is comforting.

4) I am still waiting for SanDisk to announce new '987 licensees
and give a spin to the Lexar settlement we recently learned of.
The additional $8 million in licensing fees from Lexar, plus
end-of-year adjustments to licensee estimates, plus
new '987 licenses should add significantly to Q4 royalty
revenues. The decline in legal fees and a banner holiday
and Q1 aftermarket season should also help.

SPECIAL THANKS TO BINX FOR THE PATENT LINX.

Ausdauer@discouraged_yet_bullish.com