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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Freedom Fighter who wrote (85853)	11/24/2000 4:40:53 PM
From: Skeeter Bug	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 132070

>>To me "fair" is that we both know the rules going in and realize that an existing error rate could influence the outcome in either direction.<< i agree. unfortunately, fl law apparently doesn't allow that version of "fair." >>Unfair is one side using a bias to gain an advantage.<< wanna double down on that wooden nickel bet? i bet that the demos get enough votes to win and i bet the ms harris is available on sunday. ;-) >>If we played poker with a deck that was missing some cards, that would be OK if neither of us knew what was missing - even if it influenced the outcome. It would be totally unfair if I knew and you didn't. << not sure this is an apples to apples compatrison... but i don't think i want to play cards with you ;-) i was watching espn's the 50 greatest athletes... michael jordan was playing a north carolina team mate's mother in cards... he caught micheal cheating to win... ;-)

To: Freedom Fighter who wrote (85853)	11/24/2000 8:02:41 PM
From: George Acton	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 132070

>> To me "fair" is that we both know the rules going in << The rules called for a recount if the first count produced a narrow margin. Given the situation, it should have been a very careful process, uniformly applied to the whole state. Both sides could have signed off on the procedures, agreed to abide by the result and gotten a declaratory judgment from the Fla Supremes, if they needed to change the schedule. One analysis is that the big change would have resulted from hand-counting the punch-card ballots, since the error rate is about 3% for machine counting and 0.3% for hand counting. This would help Gore, because the counties using punch cards vote Democrat. If 1 million ballots (of 6 total) are from those counties, it's effectively 27,000 votes that were uncounted the first time. If this splits 60-40 for Gore, it's a 5400 vote swing. Not up to the 18,000 margin of error, but closer to a definitive answer than Bush's 1K lead, Faced with this back-of-the-envelope calculation, I'd do exactly what the Republicans have done -- claim that hand recounting would be a zoo and proceed to turn it into a zoo. This is not reassuring to foreigners who parked money here under the impression that we have an exceptionally stable political system, and find that they're subsidizing a Late Roman Empire colisseum show. But I don't want to give away too much. The details will appear in my book "The Commodus Investor -- Capital Protection in Decadent Times".