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To: pete who wrote (41150)	11/27/2000 5:04:01 PM
From: Les H	Respond to of 436258

DP chart on 9-month cycle decisionpoint.com He used the end of February low as the start of the 9-month cycle. I think it should have been the May 24 low. All three indices, Dow, SPX, and OTC, bottomed at the same time. Plus it came approximately 9 months after the August 99 lows which came about 12 months after the August-October 98 lows. The first three months of the 9-month cycle should be bullish. So, I think all three reasons point to May being the base point for this cycle. I've labelled the start date for each change in tendency of the cycle and what the following 3 1/3 weeks tend to perform according to each cycle. Yellow can be construed neutral-bullish when you're in a bull market, and neutral-bearish when you're in a bear market. cycle tendency 10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change May 24 start start start 1361 none Jun 16 green green green 1464 +103 Jul 10 yellow green green 1464 + 11 Aug 2 red yellow green 1438 - 26 Aug 25 green yellow green 1506 + 68 Sep 15 yellow red yellow 1465 - 38 Oct 11 red red yellow 1364 - 99 Nov 3 green green yellow 1426 + 62 Nov 27 yellow green yellow 1348 - 78 Dec 20 red yellow red luc low? Jan 12 green yellow red xmas rally? Feb 03 yellow red red shorter's delight? Feb 28 red red red final low? There's also an interesting two-month cycle on the QQQ that troughs the second week of December as well. A couple of AIQ proprietary oscillators (TCI and SK-SD) have been consistently bottoming out about every 45 market days, and topping out about in the middle most of this year so that up and down months seem to alternate for the Nasdaq. They're still in downtrend but appear to be slowing down.