To: Winkman777 who wrote (80173 ) 11/28/2000 11:44:30 AM From: kodiak_bull Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 95453 Winkman, Good morning. To me, there are 3 climates here in Investo-world. There is the season of Buy, cloudy with indecision, discomfort and despair. I do not believe we are fully in the season of Buy anymore, although we may be nearing the last few weeks of Buy. There is the season of Hold, which often times seems a lot like Buy, except you see some happiness and sunny days, followed by clouds and rain. Traders like Hold as the differing days allow them to buy and sell umbrellas opposite the crowd (who keep mistaking the season of Hold for Buy then Sell, whoops, Buy, nope, Sell). I believe we are either entering into or already in Hold. There is the season of Sell, sunny days, higher prices, more and more "bad" news ($42 crude, $10 gas spikes), shivering widows and orphans in Buffalo NY and Worcester MA, radio addresses of national energy crises, Thermostat to 55, etc. When everyone knows about the problem then we're either into the solution we want (fuel cells, a soft oil landing) or the world economy will give us the solution we don't want (recession and oil glut). Since I think we're at the beginning of Hold, it's a good time to be slowly trimming margin. FLC/RIG is a good bet, but I don't agree you should be on the RIG end of the deal, as per Diana. FLC gives you about a 3.2% discount today in buying RIG when this thing closes (1st quarter 01, I think). I would own FLC and, when RIG makes it to the top of its trading range (60s) I would short an equivalent amount of RIG shares to go flat, then cover for modest gains (4-5 points) when it pulls back, maintaining the FLC position throughout. You could also sell OTM covered calls on the FLC for a little bit of extra sugar, if you were willing to take the assignment risk. There's an art to this, of course, and the better artists come out with prettier pictures. As a non-partisan, I have no interest in stepping into the political discussion here. (:^o) After all, in the end, you fellas may have to come to me to decide who should be the President of the U.S., once your partisan arguments fail. (It was interesting to note one of the talking heads said he/she thought that the US Supes took the case with a 4 vote quorum of the activist part of the bench (Souter, Breyer, O'Connor, etc.) and not the conservatives (Rehnquist, et al.). I wonder if the GSA would be funding Algore Inc. if he had been certified by the Florida vote.)