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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Michael Ohlendorf who wrote (20885)11/28/2000 4:30:27 PM
From: that_crazy_dougRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
<< Would you buy AMD with no EPS growth in 2001 ? Wall Street does not like companies that do not have any EPS growth even if I have to admit that for AMD it would be a great achievement to have a flat EPS and revenue growth in the hight teens considering from where they are coming from. But again is it a reason to buy in ? >>

Bottom line growth (pretax) will outpace topline growth since we are well past the break even point. This means that 15-20% revenue growth will translate into much more then 15-20% pretax earnings growth. Thus, we should be able to post higher numbers then last year despite larger taxes. Also, the analyst community should be able to pick up on the difference easily (hopefully AMD PR will be a bit better at spelling it out this time around too).



To: Michael Ohlendorf who wrote (20885)11/28/2000 4:53:38 PM
From: Dan3Respond to of 275872
 
Re: even if I have to admit that for AMD it would be a great achievement to have

They will just headline pre-tax earnings and revenue growth. Fortunately, their main competition is always viewed as Intel, their performance will be measured relative to Intel, and Intel will certainly suffer an earnings implosion next year due to the difference in capital gains.

With Intel to compare to, AMD should look very good.

Dan



To: Michael Ohlendorf who wrote (20885)11/28/2000 6:11:48 PM
From: PetzRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
Yes, I would buy more AMD here at 8x earnings (7x Y2K earnings) even if I expected taxed earnings per share to be flat. I think anyone in this industry has to learn to look behind the numbers, and then they will see that net operating income will be up over 30%.

Beginning in Q1, analysts will be generating their 2002 estimates and the unclear 2001 (fully taxed) vs. 2000 (low tax) situation will be gone.

Petz