To: Trader Dave who wrote (127 ) 11/29/2000 10:23:48 AM From: SJS Respond to of 469 Here's some additional comments about BRCM and analyst coverage......Worth a read: ________________________________ Broadcom (BRCM) 85 1/16: Tom Petty's song Free Fallin' could describe the behavior of this stock over the past few weeks as the stock has plunged 62% this month. There are a couple of catalysts for the stock today. First, Morgan Stanley analyst Mark Edelstone upgraded the stock to Strong Buy from Outperform though cut the price target to $225 from $300. Second, CEO Henry Nicholas will present today at CSFB's technology conference in Arizona. As for the upgrade, there are competing factors to weigh as Edelstone was ranked the Number 1 analyst by Institutional Investor Magazine, ahead of No. 2 Dan Niles at Lehman. However, Morgan Stanley does a lot of investment banking deals for Broadcom. Regardless, Edelstone is an influential analyst on the Street and he or Niles would have the best chance to at least slow the freefall....On Monday, Salomon Smith Barney had cut its price target to $200 from $300 citing signs of flattening orders in Broadcom's supply chain, inventory concerns in the digital cable sector and overall valuation compression among communications chip companies. Nicholas will counter those sentiments today as he recently said the company's outlook remains bullish and fundamentals have not changed in the last few months. He also is expected to reiterate his confidence in the EPS forecasts. Specifically, he is expected to reject the idea that inventory corrections at networking and cable companies will hurt Broadcom's business....We have to give Edelstone credit that he has never had a Strong Buy or even a Buy on the stock and has had only an Outperform since March 1999 throughout the wild tech ride last year while other analysts have not been afraid to slap Strong Buys on even $300+ stocks. In fact, this is the first time ever he has rated BRCM as a Buy. He even took the unusual step of initiating coverage with a Neutral a couple of years ago. With all of our complaining about sell side analysts pumping questionable stocks, he has about as credible a track record on a stock as you can ask for. All of this was probably even while being pressured to upgrade over the past 18 months. A few weeks back, we wrote a Stock Brief on I.I. rankings. This is a good example of issues to consider about the rankings. It's not surprising he was ranked No. 1. -- Robert J. Reid, Briefing.com