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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (35627)11/29/2000 9:42:18 AM
From: slacker711  Respond to of 54805
 
Very useful charts....Thanks.

I hope that people dont think that all of these stocks have gotten "cheap" because they have fallen so far....they are simply moving towards more reasonable valuations. Those charts make it apparent.

Slacker



To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (35627)11/29/2000 10:32:19 AM
From: EJhonsa  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
 
I find it somewhat ironic that people are quoting Warren Buffet in trying to cope with the decline in high-PE stocks.

IMO, provided that they execute, Broadcom, JDS Uniphase, Applied Micro, Cree and PMC-Sierra all appear to be trading at 10-15x their 2003 earnings. Juniper and Sycamore might be trading at 15-20x 2003 earnings, Vignette and Qualcomm at 20-25x, and Siebel and Network Appliance at 25-30x. As for Sandisk and Rambus, let's not even go there :-). Unless we enter into a recession, I think it's highly unlikely that these companies will be trading at such low multiples in three years, given the high levels of growth that they're showing.

Given the circumstances, Buffett's comment about looking at the market as a store with a manic-depressive owner, not to mention his line about being greedy when others are fearful, both seem to be highly relavant at this moment, even if Buffett himself wouldn't concur with their usage in this particular setting.

Eric



To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (35627)11/29/2000 10:38:19 AM
From: Mike Buckley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
Mucho,

Thanks for that chart. Do you have a comparable chart using trailing PEs that exclude one-time charges and gains?

--Mike Buckley