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Non-Tech : The Critical Investing Workshop -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: abuelita who wrote (33829)11/29/2000 8:33:58 PM
From: abuelita  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 35685
 
My dose of Vitamin B - from my broker.

"November 29, 2000

Getting Down to e-Business

While the media and many analysts focus on the shakeout in the B2C dot
com sector, we think it's a perfect time to point out that the
e-business revolution is gathering force. Yes, that's right-e-business
momentum is accelerating. If we are correct in our assessment of the
future, the e-business revolution will make B2C dot com business
activity over the past five years look like a drop in the bucket.

According to two recently released studies, one by Jupiter Research and
another by the Gartner Group, e-marketplaces and the revenue they
generate are proliferating even faster than originally predicted.
Jupiter estimates that there will be approximately 1,200 exchanges
operating by the end of this year and some 5,000 will be in place by the
end of 2002.

Talk about a Cambrian explosion!

While most of the e-business activity has been in America,
e-marketplaces are beginning to take off overseas. Companies in Europe
and Japan are moving more quickly than originally expected.

The acceleration in the pace of e-business evolution is not surprising.
As we have written many times before, the cost advantages of
e-businesses are profound (General Electric CEO Jack Welch says you have
to feel the same way about the Internet as you do about breathing). The
Internet is not simply a new distribution channel, as some have argued.
Rather, it is, as author and journalist Frances Cairncross pointed out
recently, many things: a market place, an information system, a tool for
manufacturing goods and services.

As Cairncross notes, the Internet makes a difference to a whole range of
things that managers do every day, from locating a new supplier to
coordinating a product to collecting and managing customer data. Each of
these, in turn, affects corporate life in many different ways. The
changes that the Internet brings are simply more pervasive and varied
than anything that has gone before. Even electricity did not promise so
many new ways of doing things.

At the root of these changes is a dramatic fall in the cost of handling
and transmitting information. Almost every business process involves
information in some form: an instruction, a plan, an advertisement, a
blueprint, a set of accounts. Inventory can be described as the physical
embodiment of bad information. All this information can be handled and
shared far more cheaply than before.

Cairncross notes that many managers began to think seriously about the
Internet only once the millennium-bug scare was over (that is, in the
first quarter of this year). Most large American companies started to
develop their Internet strategies just one year ago. As a result, the
benefits will begin to show up only in next year's accounts and
thereafter.

Indeed, a survey conducted earlier this year by the National Association
of Manufacturers found that more than two-thirds of American
manufacturers did not use the Internet for business-to-business
commerce. If that is true for the United States, it is true in spades
for the rest of the world.

A telltale sign that we are only in the very early stages of the
e-business revolution comes from informal surveys of software companies
by Andrew McAfee, a Harvard Business School professor. When McAfee
visits companies, he asks them to complete the sentence, "the
business-to-business revolution is x% complete. The biggest number he
has heard is 5%. Many say 1%.

With only 1% or the e-business revolution behind us, we have 99% of the
way to go. It's early days folks, but we have little doubt that when
it's over, the e-business revolution will be the biggest revolution in
business that history has ever seen.

Steve Waite and Max Jacobs "