To: Sultan who wrote (1200 ) 11/29/2000 11:33:57 PM From: John Ritter Respond to of 1222 It appears to me that the 'economy' abet, the new post cold war economy has 'tanked'. The threads that I monitor seem to be indicating free fall especially in the techs. Thus we are most likely near bottom. It seems to me you can now buy solid tech stocks with much better bottom lines than over the last several years at prices unimagined even this time last year. The question is quality, the hyped players are much to risky today, however, it would seem that NEON 'is a good company' and while I would certainly like to buy it at the bottom, $5 seemed pretty good. That said, today' small gains could easily evaporate. But $5, who would have believed at $90? I hope that anyone who reads this listens to NEON's last conference call, if we are right, and they are as honest as they sound, then the equity for produce exchange makes good business sense. What is especially interesting is that it took several weeks for the analysts to 'discover' this information buried in their 10Q, then the stock tanks from $20 to $10 when the technical indicators were in an uptrend, the next 50% wack was the general market, if in fact NEON is 'special', and they sure had enough followers this last year, then one might conclude, as did management with the announced buyback, that $5 was a 'stock bottom' somewhat disconnected from the general market, but not the economy. So yes, my general belief is that in 6 or 12 months when this reverse 'bubble' is history, the 'solid companies should be back where they were last August. This in general would include companies like MOT, NSM and certain chip related stocks like PRIA and BRKS, selling with low PEs, high cash, revenue values per share. This again is assuming the 'bubble' in April 2000 was premature, and that the chip cycle will continue once the economy evens out, the elections are settled, and foreign investors, funds, and individuals realize that 6% is not a comparable return, with any luck my current holding will have 3Xd at this juncture. In 12 months who knows, but from these levels, and opportunities tomorrow I am going to guess the bottom of the market and go long for 12 months. So we agree in general it does seem. If this happens I will go 50% bonds.