SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : LAST MILE TECHNOLOGIES - Let's Discuss Them Here -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: axial who wrote (9398)11/30/2000 3:28:49 AM
From: Raymond Duray  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12823
 
Hi Jim,

Nice thoughtful post. I found it worthwhile reading.

Only one slight nonconcurrence: I think it will be a year before we'll get new bets on who the winners will be, and those winners will be dictated as much by prudent business plans as by technological wizardry.
The timing estimate seems good, but the dictation will be from a script. The storytellers on Wall Street will pump the "hope/greed/animal spirits" buttons in the players and we'll be off to the races again. Biz plans and tech mastery are steak issues, and often tough to chew. What WS will sell is sizzle. :)

Evolving stories? Lots of them in biotech, cause you can't value a dream, maybe more wireless broadband, and alternative power seem to be themes that could be easily re-vivified.

Best, Ray



To: axial who wrote (9398)12/1/2000 12:38:04 PM
From: rr_burns  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 12823
 
Jim re fidelity rotation

in post 9398 you said, in parting :
PS - If you can (I've lost the URL) check into the figures on Fidelity's rotation out of high-tech: it's astonishing

Here is something I posted on the WIN thread:

Message 14890050

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

To: Nav Toor who started this subject
From: rr_burns
Monday, Nov 27, 2000 6:10 PM ET
Reply # of 5464

Scapegoat for Tech Meltdown? Try Fidelity

Got this from "EdgarOnline.com" free email ezine I get.
See bolded ares.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

As technology and telecommunications stocks crashed in the third
quarter, the nation's largest mutual fund complex was selling them
aggressively. As the single largest player in the stock market,
accounting for an estimated 15% of total volume, Fidelity Investments
undoubtedly contributed to the market rout.

"It is easy to see why telecomm and tech crashed during the summer,"
says David O'Leary, president of Alpha Equity Research in
Portsmouth, NH. He blames it on massive sales by FMR Corp., the
holding company for Fidelity's various investment units. The sales
included more than $1 billion each of stock in such market leaders
as Nokia (NOK), Vodaphone Group and Nortel Networks (NT), and more
than $500 million each of Lucent Technologies (LU), EMC Corp. (EMC)
and JDS Uniphase (JDSU).

At the same time Fidelity was investing more than $1 billion each in
General Electric (GE) and Coca-Cola (KO), and more than $500 million
in Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), Gemstar-TV Guide (GMST), ExxonMobil
(XOM) and Gillette (G).

O'Leary uses FMR's EDGAR filings to track Fidelity's buying and
selling. The company's latest Form 13F-HR, covering the third
quarter, was filed Nov. 14.
insidertrader.com

FMR and other institutional investors are required to make the reports
quarterly, detailing all of their holdings during the period. Sales
and purchases don't have to be disclosed, but they can be deduced from
comparing the latest report with that of three months earlier.

The same kind of calculations O'Leary's firm makes are also available
to institutional clients of InsiderTrader.com, a subsidiary of
EDGAR Online. hrrp://www.insidertrader.com

InsiderTrader.com's database shows that Fidelity owned or traded more
than 2,800 individual names during the third quarter. That is a
considerable fraction of the world's total: The Russell 3000 Index,
which represents that many of the largest domestic corporations,
covers 98% of the U.S. equity market, the world's largest.

During the quarter, Fidelity completely eliminated positions in 253
companies, including Rite Aid Corp. (RAD), Saks Inc. (SAK),
Maxygen Inc. (MAXY), Micros Systems (MCRS) and Washington Post (WPO).

Fidelity's tech sales were not wholesale: It boosted its stake in
Cisco Systems (CSCO) and now owns 4.7% of the company, up from 4.5%
the prior quarter. Its stake in Microsoft (MSFT) was raised 22.4% to
145.6 million shares, or 2.7% of that company's total.

It also increased its commitment to Philip Morris (MO). It raised its
stake in the consumer products conglomerate more than a third in the
second quarter, to 153.7 million shares, and added another 4.9 million
shares in the third. It owned 7.1% of the tobacco maker.

As a matter of policy, Fidelity doesn't comment on its trades or
holdings.