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To: Hank Stamper who wrote (14471)	11/30/2000 9:13:23 AM
From: Bill Holtzman	Respond to of 24042

Has anything fundamentally changed in this information age revolution? Have we gotten off track somehow? If not, the NAZ should be at 4000... odds-onchoice.com

To: Hank Stamper who wrote (14471)	11/30/2000 10:24:45 AM
From: Gerald Walls	Respond to of 24042

"Fro the second week in US crud oil and heating oil inventories went up and in TX huge amout of heating oil is waiting for shippment." Two weeks does not a trend make. However, this is a positive sign and if it continues--I hope it does--then Greenspan will have some additional breathing room. Iraq is threatening to not ship oil unless buyers pay a $0.50 per barrel bribe into a fund outside of the reach of the UN.

To: Hank Stamper who wrote (14471)	11/30/2000 6:11:08 PM
From: A.L. Reagan	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 24042

David: >>zbyslaw, "Also, many Fed mambers and economists will tell you that it takes 3-5 months for hike to work" Then how come the first rate hike was in June 1999 and the first business slowdowns showed up in Q3 2000? << The reason was that a ton of liquidity was pumped into the system in Q4 1999 due to Greenie's Y2K paranoia. In the beginning of "the tightening" there was a real policy paradox with fed funds being hiked at the same time money supply was exploding... which is exactly why nothing seemed to respond to the rate hikes at first. The rate of increase in all measures of money supply growth has significantly decreased this year. Let's not forget Milton Friedman too soon - it's not all about S/T interest rates.