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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: horsegirl48 who wrote (21074)	11/30/2000 12:47:37 PM
From: Voltaire	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 65232

If they don't go to neutral - I WILL GET THE HELL OUT. vster

To: horsegirl48 who wrote (21074)	11/30/2000 12:56:39 PM
From: Sully-	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 65232

>>"? I asked before what was caused the 17% rates during the Carter times"<< During that period, there were soaring oil prices which had a much more dramatic impact on worldwide markets, causing steep inflation on a broad basis. We had very strong unions that were pushing labor rates up steeply & many had cost of living wage increases pegged to inflation & a resulted in a snowball effect. Many companies passed along increased unit costs in the form of higher prices while they continued to expand operations. The Fed began to raise rates to put a brake on growth & to slow inflation. At one point the prime rate exceeded 20%. The recession that followed was quite severe & lasting. I'm sure you can see there are similarities in today's environment, yet many significant differences. IMVHO, the ball is in the lap of the Fed. BWDIK? Ö¿Ö

To: horsegirl48 who wrote (21074)	11/30/2000 1:11:20 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 65232

Fed tightening, Election morass, Economic slowdown when they each clear up: Fed -- might go neutral in midDec might cut rates then, but doubtful could cut at end of January definitely cut by April Election -- US SupCt wont end it Monday-Tuesday the lawuits now resemble a fraternity clusterfark failed Contest by Gore will be appealed FL Legislature might appoint Repub Electors if so, Gore will sue the FL SupCt Contest appeal might take 2-4 weeks Electoral College vote might be delayed from midDec US Congress might decide vote finally Economy -- Fed wants 1% inflation, 4% unemploymt, 2.5% growth warnings of more earnings reductions will happen soon we are entering soon the Q4 warnings period Gateway and Altera is just the start earnings may come down considerably in Q1 next year the economic bottom may not be until March-June timeframe with Fed thumbs up their asses, tightening is weekly force inflation is nonexistent, thus interest rates have high real force more margin calls tomorrow, with forced selling am I missing anything? yes, my money Keith, take satisfaction / jim