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To: Raymond Duray who wrote (1020)	12/2/2000 10:43:07 PM
From: techanalyst1	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1805

I can't call a bottom Ray. How long? 2 1/2 months is your prediction? TA

To: Raymond Duray who wrote (1020)	12/3/2000 1:05:44 PM
From: stevieD	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1805

Bob Brinker agrees with you, almost. He says bear market started Jan00 and will last at least 1-2 years minimum, with some counter rallies during that time. Also that no recession will happen until the bear market is over. I always try to prove him wrong, but he's been right on the money for the last 10 years that I know of.

To: Raymond Duray who wrote (1020)	12/5/2000 9:35:18 PM
From: techanalyst1	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1805

"So, I'd say with the exception of the fool's rally after Gore concedes, we're looking at a bear that is not in stealth mode for the next 2 1/12 months. Do you see it otherwise"? Possible that the catalyst for the recent decline was the election mess, but not the real reason and due to that, even good companies were tossed out. It's possible for individual stocks to go up even in bear markets. I don't care about deteriorating sectors. Money will move into the growth stocks. Same old same old. Questions are:... are my companies deteriorating? I don't think so (although Dan Niles would disagree). Are they expensive? Yes. Will they go down from here? Maybe. Will they go up from here? Yes. I'm confident that in the time frame I plan on owning them that they will be many many many times higher than today and that they will indeed lead the market, bear or bull. TA