Stolen election............Analysis shows higher vote loss in black areas
By John Mintz and Dan Keating WASHINGTON POST
WASHINGTON - Heavily Democratic and African American neighborhoods in Florida lost many more presidential votes than other areas because of outmoded voting machines and confusion about ballots, according to a precinct-by-precinct analysis by the Washington Post.
As many as one in three ballots in black sections of Jacksonville, for example, did not count in the presidential election. That was four times the rate seen in white precincts elsewhere in Duval County.
According to the Post analysis, in Miami-Dade precincts where fewer than 30 percent of the voters are black, about 3 percent of ballots did not register a vote for president. In precincts where more than 70 percent of the voters are African American, it was nearly 10 percent.
Such patterns have helped fueled questions in the black community about whether the Nov. 7 election was fair. Some African American leaders say faulty machines and long lines at the polls sowed confusion among black voters and ended up nullifying many of their votes.
Aides to Texas Gov. George W. Bush say the kinds of errors that Florida voters made are typical of elections across the nation. Gore, by contrast, has placed allegations concerning disqualified black votes at the center of his appeal to hold recounts in Miami-Dade County. Democrats contend that the errors suggest a manual recount of ballots would show Gore actually won Florida.
A computer analysis of election returns suggests there were anomalies in the Florida vote, particularly in African American areas. The more black and Democratic a precinct, the more likely it was to have high rates of invalidated votes.
About 40 percent of the state's black voters were new voters, and election experts say they were the most vulnerable to confusion about oddly designed ballots. Moreover, a higher percentage of blacks than whites live in counties with voting machines more prone to not counting a vote.
Similarly, African American voters are somewhat more likely to live in areas where poll workers do not immediately check ballots for errors - so blacks were less likely than whites to get a chance to correct their ballots if they messed them up.
"We keep talking about every vote counts, and, boy, I feel like mine doesn't count," said Lon Fanniel, 40, a retired Marine captain from Jacksonville. He fears confusion over the ballot led him to accidentally leave two marks for president, invalidating his vote for Gore.
One factor that may have added to the high rate of invalidated votes: the NAACP's massive turnout drive in Florida, which brought many first-time voters to the polls. In all, 893,000 African Americans cast ballots on Nov. 7 in Florida, a 65 percent jump over 1996.
Another possible factor: Florida listed an unusually high 10 presidential tickets, which led to confusing ballot designs in some counties.
A prime example is Duval, where a ballot that perplexingly spread presidential names over two pages led to many accidental double votes, which are automatically voided. Although Bush carried the county 58-41 percent, the spoiled ballots were concentrated in African American sections of downtown Jacksonville that went heavily for Gore.
In white precincts, about 1 in 14 ballots was thrown out because of double voting, but in largely black precincts more than 1 in 5 ballots were spoiled - and in some black precincts it was almost one-third.
There are several reasons why a voting machine would not record a vote. A voter might have decided not to vote for president or could have mistakenly voted for two candidates, which automatically disqualifies a ballot and is called an "overvote"; or failed to mark the ballot cleanly (which, along with the ballots deliberately left unmarked, is known as an "undervote").
In Duval, the official sample ballot designed by the Republican election supervisor explicitly instructed people to "Vote all pages" on the ballot - which apparently led thousands of people to invalidate their ballots, because the list of presidential candidates was spread over two pages. Generally, election officials try to list candidates for one office in one column on one page to avoid confusion.
Sharon Lewis of Jacksonville went to the polls with her son Ernest, 18, a high school senior casting his first vote. She was mortified when her son told her proudly, "I voted on every page." This meant that he had voted for more than one presidential candidate. She said they complained to poll workers, but to no avail.
"He had that 'I Voted' sticker on his shirt - the only kid at his school who voted," Lewis said. "But his vote didn't count."
Experts say new voters are the most likely to be confused if a ballot lists more than about six names for one office. After that, confusion rises exponentially with each name added. Florida ballots listed 10 presidential candidates - which tied for the most with four states.
Black Floridians also were more likely to face unforgiving voting equipment. About 34 percent of white voters but only about 26 percent of black voters live in counties where ballots are verified as soon as they are cast - so poll workers can immediately tell voters they disqualified ballots, and voters have a second chance to vote a valid ballot.
"Poor people are more likely to invalidate ballots" because of difficulty mastering punch-card systems, said Herb Asher, an Ohio State University voting expert who studied the issue in 1978, when Ohio first used the machines. Voters in affluent suburbs invalidated their ballots 2 percent of the time, Asher said, while voters in Dayton's poor areas did so up to 20 percent of the time.
For decades, about 2 percent of ballots cast nationally have not recorded a presidential vote. But in Florida this year, the rate was 2.9 percent. In 21 of Florida's 67 counties, the ratio of disqualified votes to total votes cast was more than 6 percent. The largest numbers of disqualified and double votes were in mostly Democratic and black areas. |