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To: Paul Shread who wrote (37137)	12/4/2000 9:45:04 AM
From: Jack T. Pearson	Respond to of 42787

Washington Post had an article yesterday which said that to revert to the mean, the Dow would go nowhere for three years and the Nasdaq would go nowhere for 8 years. That is exactly the kind of negativity we need to make a market bottom. Too bad the author didn't publish this in March.

To: Paul Shread who wrote (37137)	12/4/2000 10:54:53 AM
From: eddieww	Respond to of 42787

Paul: Interesting article, thanks. I can't imagine we are going to put in a bottom in compx without the participation of DJIA and spx. Also, while a resolution to the election, especially a Republican one, and a change to neutral bias by the FED might offset the suspected ugly warnings this month, I can't imagine how ugly many of the year-on-year earnings comparisons will be in Jan-Feb. Since a precipitous fall in all the indexes and then sideways for several years would be the worst possible scenario for me, I conclude that as the most likely outcome. -nfg- BTW, I think I can control the election outcome as well as the FED bias by the position I take in NDX and SPX. So if anyone really wants the shrub to win and the FED to go neutral, I'll take short positions. -g-