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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Pravin Kamdar who wrote (21548)12/5/2000 1:56:37 PM
From: Dan3Respond to of 275872
 
Re: 1 GHz Athlon for $182 on December, 14th.? Very disturbing news, if true

It's not even news, if you think about it.

If AMD's ASP isn't much over $90, and 1GHZ is the average speed of their chips, net quantity price of a 1GHZ part to OEMs/Distributers has to be around $100, and Retail around $180.

Close to half AMD's production is at 1GHZ and above for the time period in which these processors will be sold. Expected ASPs are a little over $90. The least expensive K6s and Durons probably go for about $40 in quantity, while 1.1GHZ+ chips sell even to OEMs for close to $200, so to average out to $90, the 1GHZ chips can't sell for much more than $100 in quantity to OEMs. And that calls for a retail price of around $180.

I agree that Intel is up against the wall here, with most of their product below 1GHZ. I've been harping on this point for months - AMD will do fine, but not great, while Intel has a fairly serious problem, even with their notebook and server revenue.

Regards,

Dan



To: Pravin Kamdar who wrote (21548)12/6/2000 1:18:59 AM
From: Charles RRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
<Very disturbing news, if true.>

Not sure why you find this disturbing. AMD has plenty of capacity and poor infrastructure. How else would you stimulate demand?

After Q2, with P4 ramping hard, AMD will be hard pressed to play this kind of game.