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To: jim_p who wrote (80875)12/6/2000 1:16:35 PM
From: Jon Cave  Respond to of 95453
 
Crude Price Drop In Early Dec May Be Temporary
DJN: DJ EIA -2: Crude Price Drop In Early Dec May Be Temporary


WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--U.S. households face soaring bills this winter for
both natural gas and heating oil, and the downturn so far this month in
crude prices may be temporary, the Energy Information Administration said
Wednesday.
Soaring natural gas prices over the past month have led the EIA, which is
the statistical wing of the U.S. Department of Energy, to raise its retail
gas price forecast for the winter by 57 cents to $9.21 per thousand cubic
feet - 40% above last winter's level.
Combined with presumed higher gas consumption this winter, that would raise
the typical gas-heated household's bill about 50%, the agency says in its
monthly short-term energy outlook report.
For heating oil, the EIA raised its projection this month for winter prices
by 12 cents to an average of $1.52 a gallon - 34 cents above last winter's
level. Combined with higher consumption, that would boost an oil-heated
household's winter fuel bill more than one-third.
For crude oil, the EIA warns that a downturn in prices since Friday may
prove to be temporary, partly because of "the annoying reality of
languishing actual stockpiles amidst claims of large aggregate excess
production."
The agency has raised its crude price forecast for 2001 by $4.71 to
$28.72/bbl, and now expects imported crude to remain slightly above
$30/barrel through the first half of 2001. New supplies would lead to a
downturn in mid- or late 2001, it says.
EIA says indications of rising global oil inventories in its projections are
likely overstated owing to a recurrence of what's come to be known as the
"missing barrels" problem.
Specifically, "the available limited data for tracking inventories suggest
that inventories haven't been building as fast as any of the global
supply/demand estimates (including EIA's) would indicate, and that some of
the oil that is being produced worldwide is unaccounted for," the EIA says.



To: jim_p who wrote (80875)12/6/2000 2:36:15 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
NEV and BRY-

If I remember correctly both NEV (Nuevo) and certainly Berry BRY
burn NG for steam flood injection to produce heavy oil.

For BRY, the NG cost was about 1/4 (~$2.00) of their cost of production when NG was about $3.00-4.00

So with oil falling and NG sky high, they're hurting...

Berry has relative easy to understand financials, btw.