SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: KymarFye who wrote (63850)12/6/2000 2:00:47 PM
From: Saulamanca  Respond to of 99985
 
13:55 ET Bank of America (BAC) : -- Update -- Now sees 2001 earnings
of $5.10 to $5.20 vs mean estimate of $5.49. Notes that projections are based
on the assumptions of a soft landing for the U.S. economy and no change in the
company's business mix..

13:51 ET Bank of America (BAC) 40 1/4 -15/16 (-2.3%): Bank holding
company guiding down Q4 net to a range of $0.85 to $0.90 a share, well below
the current First Call mean of $1.17. BAC says it is experiencing continuing
deterioration in credit quality, with nonperforming assets expected to rise 20%
from Q3 level.

Edit:

14:05 ET Bank of America (BAC) 40 1/4 15/16 (halted): -- Update --
Indices backing up (Dow -188, Nasdaq -44, S&P 500 -20) as financial sector
stocks weaken on BAC earnings warning. BAC currently indicated to open
$38-$40.
briefing.com



To: KymarFye who wrote (63850)12/6/2000 2:20:18 PM
From: High-Tech East  Respond to of 99985
 
KymarFye ... thank you for your comments.

Ken Wilson



To: KymarFye who wrote (63850)12/6/2000 3:42:07 PM
From: byhiselo  Respond to of 99985
 
KymarFye, very well put and i would agree

which is why i posted the original article,
awaiting the next report...

cheers



To: KymarFye who wrote (63850)12/7/2000 10:28:40 AM
From: High-Tech East  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
KymarFye ... follow-up from yesterday on the "commercial hedgers" ... I looked further into the situation, and
discovered, as I thought, that the author of that article, on TheStreet.com (Aaron Task), does not have even a clue of
which he speaks ...

Long or short positions by "commercial hedgers" in the S&P 500 futures have absolutely no direct connection on the
specific prices of any of the 500 stocks in the S&P 500 Index ... It is the reverse, of course ... the S&P 500 Index causes the S&P 500 futures prices (along with other factors) to move ... this is not like somebody covering a short position in a stock (which I believe is what magnified the stock rally this past Tuesday).

... so do not look for any positive impact on stock prices if the "commercial hedgers" are wrong in being short S&P 500
futures ... the commercials will lose money to the individuals who sold them the contracts, but that will be it.

... not to mention that the commercials will not be wrong to begin with ... it is they who determine where the equity
prices in the S&P 500 will move ... and in this case it will be down ... way down ...

... and that is how I am playing it with my March S&P 500 puts.

Disclaimer: The above is my personal opinion. I recommend that you do not base your investment decisions solely on any
one person's views or analysis (including mine). Do your own research and take personal responsibility for your
investment decisions.

Ken Wilson