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To: Pat Hughes who wrote (62527)12/7/2000 2:38:14 AM
From: Estephen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
Thursday December 7, 12:01 am Eastern Time

Notebook PCs, Asia shore up Q4 PC shipments - IDC

By Eric Auchard

NEW YORK, Dec 7 (Reuters) - Surging sales of notebook computers and strong Asia-Pacific region demand in
the fourth quarter helped partly offset a sharp drop in U.S. consumer desktop personal computer sales, a top
market researcher will report on Thursday.

International Data Corp. of Framingham, Mass. said its revised outlook calls for worldwide PC industry shipments
to reach 40.15 million in the fourth quarter, up 19.6 percent from the year earlier but down slightly from IDC's prior
forecast.

``Although it's clear consumer demand in the United States is weakening, buying in other regions remains strong,'' said Loren Loverde, director of
IDC's Worldwide PC Tracker program.

``The portables segment is also strong in all regions, boosting sales in both consumer and commercial markets,'' she said in statement detailing the
survey's finding.

But IDC analysts cautioned that consumer demand in the United States will remain depressed for two to three quarters before accelerating again.

IDC CUTS 2001 GROWTH FORECAST TO 16.6 PERCENT WORLDWIDE

Furthermore, IDC said it had revised downward its forecasts for total PC shipment growth in 2001 to 16.6 percent worldwide, down from 18.8
percent in 2000.

IDC analyst Roger Kay said the industry research group had trimmed its forecast for worldwide fourth-quarter growth to 19.6 from the 20.3 percent
that it had projected on the last occasion it revised its industry forecast in early September.

Subsequently, the PC industry has been rocked with warnings of slowing consumer sales by major computer makers and chip suppliers, including
Gateway Inc. (NYSE:GTW - news), Hewlett-Packard Co.(NYSE:HWP - news) and Apple Computer Inc. (NasdaqNM:AAPL - news) most
recently.

In response, Kay said in an interview that IDC was cutting its estimate for fourth-quarter consumer desktop PCs in half, to 10.2 percent growth from
the year earlier, down from IDC's prior 21.2 percent growth forecast for the current quarter.

In the United States, consumer spending remained strong through the third quarter, but early warnings from both retail and direct-to-consumer PC
suppliers suggested a weaker consumer market in the fourth quarter, IDC said.

A slowdown in European corporate PC sales during the third quarter had shouldered the blame for slowing growth then.

The portable computer market in the United States, Western Europe, and Asia/Pacific all strongly outperformed the research organization's
expectations, with shipments growing 32 percent in the fourth quarter over the year earlier. That was on top of a 33 percent third-quarter rise from the
1999 third quarter.

Portables have picked up steam as the advantages of mobility gain ground over demand for office desktop computers used to run standard business
applications, Kay said.

WINDOWS 2000 UPGRADES BREATHE LIFE INTO CORPORATE DEMAND

IDC also sees an up-tick in desktop shipments due to the long-awaited move to Windows 2000, Microsoft Corp.'s (NasdaqNM:MSFT - news)
latest business computer operating system, which is kicking in after a year-long testing process at many companies.

Kay cited the emerging replacement cycle for PCs bought in 1997 and 1998 by many companies who had sped-up purchasing to secure their
networks to ward off feared disruptions from possible Year 2000 bugs that largely failed to materialize.

Many of these computers are now being upgraded to newer machines in keeping with the recommended practice of replacing office PCs every three
years. The replacement cycle is in turn being fed by planned upgrades to new Windows software.

``The U.S. commercial market is slowly warming,'' he said.

The portable computer market in the United States, Western Europe, and Asia/Pacific all strongly outperformed the research organization's
expectations, with shipments growing 32 percent in the fourth quarter over the year earlier. That was on top of a 33 percent third-quarter rise from the
1999 third quarter.

Portables have picked up steam as the advantages of mobility gain ground over demand for office desktop computers used to run standard business
applications, Kay said.

In Western Europe, consumer sales appear to be healthy while corporate sales led IDC to lower fourth-quarter expectations to a 15.1 annual growth
rate for the fourth quarter, down the nearly 19 percent it had once forecast.

Revised forecasts in the Asia/Pacific region, excluding Japan, call for fourth-quarter shipment growth of 33.4 percent year-on-year for the current
fourth quarter.

In Japan, fourth-quarter growth projections were revised upward to 29.4 percent year on year, following a slower than expected third quarter. Strong
consumer demand from repeat and first-time buyers, as well as recovering business investments are driving the market, IDC said.

IDC said global growth is expected to slow further in the long run as both business and consumer market saturation increases among the pool of
potential available buyers, and growth in emerging markets moderates.



To: Pat Hughes who wrote (62527)12/7/2000 6:04:09 AM
From: Thai Chung  Respond to of 93625
 
Patents Give You Power, So Stop Whining!

EchoStar and Micron Technology have rolled out the "they're using their patents to be monopolists!" defenses in court fights with Big Bad
patent holders Gemstar-TV Guide and Rambus. Whine, whine, whine. A patent grants the right to exclude others from using your
invention without a license. It's a legal monopoly. If you don't like the system, change the laws, but don't expect owners of intellectual
property -- who invested millions inventing it -- to forego the rewards of their work. Most importantly, EchoStar and Micron investors
should ask why management hasn't licensed crucial technology long ago at rates less than litigation costs.

By Tom Jacobs (TMF Tom9)
December 6, 2000

Satellite TV deliverer EchoStar (Nasdaq: DISH) yesterday sued Gemstar-TV Guide (Nasdaq: GMST), alleging
that Gemstar acted anticompetitively by refusing to license its patented interactive programming guide technology
or demanded exorbitant license fees. This follows Micron Technology's (NYSE: MU), which sued Rambus
(Nasdaq: RMBS) -- of which I own shares -- on the same grounds: that Rambus acts as a monopolist, using its
computer memory technology patents as an anticompetitive weapon.

I have two answers for EchoStar and Micron, one short and one long. Short: Your nemeses are not Microsoft
(Nasdaq: MSFT) or Standard Oil. Neither of you is the original trust buster, Teddy Roosevelt. Shut up!

Long: While you may have a thin reed of a legal argument, that's all you have. Your decisions should
have shareholders clutching at management's throats.

Patents are legal monopolies
Americans love money and power, but within limits. Succeed, beat your competitors into the ground fair and
square -- that's good, right? But not if you use your monopoly power to hurt the consumer. Most people ignore the
economists and cast it as a moral battle -- small versus big, David and Goliath, Netscape against Microsoft
(Nasdaq: MSFT). Yet we cast this aside in the patent arena. Patents grant the holder a legal right to exclude anyone
else from using her invention without permission -- a legal right to act like a monopolist and restrict
competition. Catch that: It's legal to be a patent monopolist.

And this right stems from -- wave the flag -- the U.S. Constitution itself. For a welcome break from presidential
election arguments, check out Section 8, Clause 8, which gives Congress the power to "promote the Progress of
Science and the useful Arts, by securing for limited times for authors and inventors the exclusive Right to their
respective Writings and Discoveries." (Don't you love that "useful Arts"?)

Never fearful to legislate, Congress came up with Title 35 of the United States Code, and patents protect the science-side rights of Section 8,
Clause 8, for 20 years (or 14 or 17 years, for two other less common kinds of patents). But be warned: "A common misconception is that the
patent gives its owner the right to make, use, or sell the invention," notes law firm Oppedahl & Larson. "It only gives the owner the ability to
exclude others from making, using or selling the invention."

You can exclude anyone you want. If you own the patent for four legs to a chair, and -- I kid you not -- if you have a non-fraudulently
obtained patent, you can prevent anyone else from making a chair with four legs in the U.S. unless they pay you whatever price you want. That's
why there are pitched battles over who invented this or that first and should get the patent on it. And why companies spend lots of money building
the legal armies to fight the patent battles. For examples, check out the horrible story of how RCA used its might to squash TV's inventor Phil
Taylor Farnsworth, or note the words of a law firm partner I once worked for: "How can you not like litigation? It's the last legal form of combat
left to a man!" (Or woman.)

Any law on EchoStar and Micron's sides?
But EchoStar and Micron's lawyers are not morons, and they are not making frivolous claims. They are suing in federal courts, and under federal
law, lawyers who sign court papers state under penalty that their arguments have a good faith basis in law or fact. And there are a very few cases
out there that appear to set standards for plaintiffs to obtain cash for patent holder's monopolizing behavior: Specifically, fraud in obtaining the
patent that leads to the patent holder's own monopoly power in the marketplace.

But Gemstar isn't interested in satellite TV, and it licenses its technology to other companies. Rambus is no semiconductor fab, and it licenses to
seven out of the top ten DRAM manufacturers, including number one Samsung. Under current law, as long as Gemstar and Rambus aren't in the
markets themselves -- as long as they are intellectual property companies that make their money licensing their patent property (technically, their
patent "estate") -- and especially if they license their inventions to someone, they win.

Popular ambivalence about monopolies
Facing the weakness of their position, management's lawyers struggle with what little they've got. It's a last ditch attempt to make some kind of --
emotional? -- appeal. Yet Americans are very ambivalent about monopolies, anticompetitive behavior, and unfair competition today. On the one
hand, Ralph Nader received a not insignificant share of the vote based on his decades-old appeals to the power of the big corporations. One should
not ignore those appeals, even if standing by Winston Churchill's slightly edited observation that a person who is not a liberal at 20 has no heart,
and not a conservative at 50 has no mind.

On the other hand, we love innovation and we take (perhaps too much) pride in our country's ability to produce it. Today is not the era of Teddy
Roosevelt, or the railroad trusts or Standard Oil against whom the muckrakers raised the non-unionized, non-OSHA protected, ill-treated working
public. Today, millions -- and millions -- of the modern equivalent of those workers own, say, Microsoft shares either directly or through state or
private employer pension funds. So it isn't entirely clear who is worse off -- the consumer who pays a few bucks more for Windows or the
stockholders who saw their investments decline in value. In this view, the vilified wealthy of the trust-busting era are now the shareholding middle
class.

Foolish investors in a company might well spend less time agonizing over a competitor's vigorous, aggressive patent defense. They should perhaps
wonder why management has not licensed patents crucial to business plans instead of litigating, and whether those business plans made sense if the
possibilities of failure to obtain those licenses on favorable terms were substantial. Valid, non-fraudulently obtained patents are the result of
Constitutionally-granted powers, and they aren't going away anytime soon.



To: Pat Hughes who wrote (62527)12/7/2000 6:52:36 AM
From: KM  Respond to of 93625
 
Target on this 5 is about 150 minimum.