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To: Bill Harmond who wrote (112559)	12/13/2000 12:50:49 PM
From: Victor Lazlo	Respond to of 164684

William re OPWV, here's some stuff to read re web-enabled cellular, part of why I take a much more dim view of it than you. There's plenty more, too; this is just a smattering. Victor " NEW YORK -- Usability guru Jakob Nielsen writes, "[I]t's a doomed strategy to build mobile Internet devices as mutated telephones." Anybody who's tried to write email on a WAP phone no doubt agrees. " redherring.com "HYPE DREAMS Mr. Seybold isn't a crank. He's a realist. The straight-talking analyst has been in the wireless business since the mid-'70s, when he was a two-way radio salesman, so he's pretty much seen it all. "There are some real good deals being put together and some real good stuff happening here [at Wireless 2000]," he says, "but we have to go through all the hype and bullshit before we get there." redherring.com competitors to WAP abound, of course… redherring.com How do you think WAP will fare against Handspring and Palm? redherring.com Happy reading !!

To: Bill Harmond who wrote (112559)	12/13/2000 9:37:05 PM
From: Victor Lazlo	Respond to of 164684

william, some more informative material for you on why OPWV is eating it! So much for my "hunch", huh ?! LOL ! Don't Hold Your Breath Mobile commerce has great hype. That may be the only thing that's great about it The marketing blitz around the wireless Web and mobile commerce already resembles overhyped disappointments of the past, such as the picturephone (remember the 1964 World's Fair?), interactive TV and satellite telephones. To see why, flee the trade-show bubble and travel to Europe, where wireless operators began offering Internet access through cell phones last year. Europe was supposed to be a prime market for the wireless Web, because cell-phone use is higher there than in the U.S., while PC-based Internet use is much lower. So far, though, the wireless Web is a flop in Europe. Analysts estimate that there are fewer than two million users, one-fifth of last year's projections. Even that number may overstate real use. One German operator says its average user logs on less than a minute a day. .... and ..... Faster, Cheaper Alternatives Analysts say they've yet to see the compelling application that will drive large numbers of cell-phone users to the wireless Web. In many cases, it's easier, quicker and cheaper to get information other ways. Just entering a credit-card number and a shipping address on a cell phone would be tedious and expensive, says Mr. Hold of Current Analysis. "You could spend more on airtime than on the book." interactive.wsj.com