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To: Dan3 who wrote (121324)12/8/2000 11:59:45 AM
From: Joseph Pareti  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
San Francisco, CALIF. -- Global semiconductor sales are expected to rise 37
percent this year to a record $205 billion, and will reach $319 billion by
2003, according to an annual report issued by a leading industry trade group.

Sales of chips for data networking, broadband, wireless, optoelectronics and
continued strong demand for personal computers will spur the gains, the
Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) said in its influential annual
forecast.

Chip sales are forecast to rise another 22 percent to $249 billion next
year, the SIA added.

"The PC is still a major growth driver, but for much of the industry there
are faster growth opportunities associated with the new information-based
economy," Wilfred Corrigan, chief executive of chipmaker LSI Logic, said in a
statement given at the group's annual forecast and award dinner.

Other executives in the chip industry agreed. Intel Corp.'s  (INTC:
Research, Estimates) President and CEO Craig Barrett said in a presentation
broadcast on the Internet that sales of its networking, communications and
wireless chips were growing roughly 50 percent or more a year, much faster
than sales of its personal computer  microprocessors.

"Overall, our business growth is strong," Barrett said on the live Internet
broadcast.

The industry group raised its mid-year forecast, made in June, when it said
worldwide chip sales would rise 31 percent in 2000 to $195 billion. And
analysts have said the world is just at the beginning - perhaps no more than
20 percent complete - of the buildout of next-generation communications
networks that combine voice, data, video and a wireless.

Corrigan said the growing variety of communication opportunities in markets
distributed around the globe would help moderate future semiconductor boom and
bust business cycles that have affected the industry over the years.

"While traditionally there have been two dominant markets around the world,
in this forecast, we see a broadening of product demand coming from all
geographic regions," SIA president George Scalise said.

While the Americas will remain the world's largest market, Asia-Pacific is
the fastest growing region, the group said.

Ten years ago, the two largest markets - the United States and Japan - made
up about 75 percent of the world market for semiconductors. Today, the two
biggest markets - the United States and Asia-Pacific - account for less than
60 percent of the worldwide market.

In the Americas, chip sales should rise 34 percent this year to $64 billion
and 21 percent next year to $77 billion. The group sees the market reaching
$96 billion in 2003.

The European market will grow 33 percent this year to $42 billion and 21
percent next year to $51 billion. It is expected to reach $66 billion in 2003.

Japanese sales should increase 42 percent this year to $46 billion and 22
percent next year to $56 billion, touching $72 billion by 2003. In the Asia
Pacific region, sales should gain nearly 41 percent this year to $52 billion,
24 percent next year to $65 billion and should hit $85 billion by 2003.

Sales of flash memory chips, which retain their data when the power is
turned off and are used widely in cell phones, are forecast to more than
double to $23 billion in 2003 from an estimated $10 billion this year.

Sales of digital signal processors, or DSPs, used in mobile phones, are
forecast to more than double to $13 billion by 2003 from $6 billion this year.
Texas Instruments Inc (TXN: Research, Estimates), Lucent Technologies Inc.  
(LU: Research, Estimates) and Motorola Inc.  (MOT: Research, Estimates) are
among the biggest makers of DSPs.

Sales of logic devices, which include programmable logic chips that can be
reprogrammed with software rather than be replaced, are forecast to rise to
$56 billion during the next three years from $34 billion this year.

Also, dynamic random-access memory chips, or DRAMs, should see sales rise 68
percent to $52 billion in 2003 from $31 billion this year. DRAMs are the most
common memory found in personal computers.

Sales of microprocessors - Intel's main business - are expected to rise 11
percent this year to $30 billion and to $38 billion in 2003.