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To: bambs who wrote (44316)12/9/2000 11:11:13 PM
From: Tom D  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
The issues are pretty thorny, Bambs.

I am not confident that this is predictable. There is a compelling argument that democratic counties mostly had antiquated, crappy voting machines that undercounted their votes. (from the Miami Herald, 12.3.00)

<<The overall rejection rate for the 43 counties using optical systems was 1.4 percent. The overall rejection rate for the 24 punch-card counties was 3.9 percent. That means that voters in punch-card counties, which included urban Democratic strongholds such as Broward and Palm Beach counties, were nearly three times as likely to have their ballots rejected as those in optical counties.>>

The problem is that I think both Supreme courts are just spewing out verbage to justify whatever they feel like doing for whatever personal/political reasons they have.

I suppose the the five conservative USSC justices would rather see Bush win and appoint more of the own.

We'll have to see. As usual of late, I am happy to be in cash.

Tom D



To: bambs who wrote (44316)12/10/2000 9:56:36 AM
From: Monty Lenard  Respond to of 77400
 
bambs, here is abby j's track record. :-)

validea.com

I think they are a bit behind updating it. VBG!

Notice her RECENT INVESTMENT IDEAS dated 10/1 and look at how much money she has made her clients vs how much money she has made her firm by talking her clients into buying these stocks.

What a stock picker! I think I will hire her to manage my money as some others here have done.

Monty



To: bambs who wrote (44316)12/10/2000 10:33:36 AM
From: t2  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 77400
 
i don't think those 5 judges would have stopped a recount if they weren't going to side with Bush. Clearly, hand recounting the undervote is a "partial recount" and is not permitted under Florida law.

My feeling is that they will want to avoid a constitutional crisis as the cost would be too high. That is why I believe FLA Chief Justice Wells voted against the majority opinion.
His language tells one that he was concerned. If the crisis scenario was not a worry, I would have bet he would have gone along with the majority.

It is basically now come down to avoiding a constitutional mess and they USSC will put in end to it. I don't think it matters what is right at this in the eyes of courts; it has more to do with avoiding a potential mess that would be bad for the country. I will say that Jeb Bush is the one that created this potential problem. Without his interference, there would no problem.

My feeling is that the decision will be at least 6 to 3 for Bush. I think the 4 that did not support the halt of recounts may still be of the opinion that FLA SC was wrong but so no point in stopping the recount.
5 are basically guaranteed to rule in favor of Bush, IMHO.

I think the market will not change too much from Friday. However, I do believe it will rally ahead of the final decision. It gives the market another reason to rally..possibly push it over Nasdaq 3000. I believe the election is more important that Greenspan or earnings in the short term.