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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: abstract who wrote (23792)	12/10/2000 11:40:30 AM
From: Jim Willie CB	Respond to of 65232

yes, if candidate receives X% of vote then he would receive an AVERAGE of X% of the errors we are talking about a random event here in machine counting the same card might be correctly counted 985 times per 1000 sounds like we are heading toward the classical debate in the statistical world namely, random versus fixed so, real errors would hurt Gore as much as Bush since they each got 50% of vote what we have here, Paul, is simple we have 8000 rogue coins that flip randomly they dont flip according to their voter's vote we have a TRUE REAL margin of victory that is unknown each machine recount flips 8000 coins randomly the difference is applied to the REAL margin and you get a range of Gore+500 to Bush+2000 unless the first two counts were lucky for Bush / jim