To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (37834 ) 12/11/2000 5:55:05 AM From: JRI Respond to of 42787 *OT* BTW- It is very difficult for the U.S. to support any (minority) groups in other countries when there is not an overwhelming will in that country for change. Sure, some/many (?) Kuwait(ies?) want democracy, but there is not a big enough outcry for them to overthrow the powers that be in that country. Did the Kuwait(ies) royalty back away from their promises post-war? Sure. Is there enough political backbone among the Kuwait(ie) people to hold their own leaders "feet to the fire" on this one. Obviously not....So, maybe Kuwait is not ready for such change. For revolutionary change, you need a solid foundation for the "democratic" house....Yugoslavia, recently (and in 1989, East Germany, Czech Republic, etc.) are great examples. If hundreds of thousands of people get mad enough, and march in the streets, and quit working....well, that so de-legitimized a government that they usually fall without one bullet even being fired.....these groups don't even need arms....their "will" is enough...and that creates a great base for a democracy. Revolutions can only start in such ways, and can rarely being imposed by exterior powers. And that's why its ridiculous for the U.S. to support "revolution" in places like Cuba...without the foundation of the majority (actually, vast majority) of the population in support...it is impossible for such things to succeed. Such actions will not be legitimate, and will be viewed as just another coup d'etat...(Ironically, with Cuba, the very people who could be changing/could have changed the situation, a la Yugoslavia, are sitting in Miami complaining that the U.S. doesn't do enough while they are unwilling to give up their homes in Coral Gables to fight for the revolution). How can you have a revolution if all the revolutionaries leave? For the U.S., it is a difficult decision, because support of minority groups in other countries brings all sorts of nasty consequences for the U.S, while often having a so-so chance of success. If the Iraqis people do not care enough about getting rid of Hussein, protecting the Kurds, etc...it is very difficult for the U.S. to do that for them....This is extremely unfortuate and unfair for the Kurdish people, this I grant you. Finally, over the weekend, I was at a party and spoke to a Colombian about the problems in their country. This guy comes from a prominent family, and was, believe it or not, recently kidnapped for 6 months by gorillas there. His bodyguard was tortured/killed before his eyes. His family payed (and is still paying) well over a million dollars randsome. He is living in the U.S. to protect his family/life/future kidnapping. I asked him what he thinks the U.S. should do. He said, "Take the U.S. army, go to Colombian, and get rid of the gorillas". He said that the Colombian government is simply unable to do it, and the situation is only getting worse, and the country is on the verge of outright civil war. I asked him, "do you think the majority of the Colombian population would support a U.S. action there?". He said "Yes", but then he hesistated and said, but, "of course, there are many that would NOT want the U.S. there. But they are the ones that are stupid and uninformed about what's really going on"... Again, America is in a "damned if you do" situation. We both know that if we increased our troop presence there, L'Monde, Frankfurter Allgemeine, etc. would have a field day criticizing the U.S. The European governments (ex-England) will pass a proclamation criticizing the U.S.'s actions. It would hurt our relations with Venezuela, a key oil producer. The U.S. press would seize the moment to make references to Vietnam. Our country would certainly be divided. And, yet, this guy is probably right. The U.S. IS the only one who can change the situation. What to do? Sorry about the rambling...too much late night coffee...