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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sunshadow who wrote (111412)12/11/2000 11:06:13 PM
From: sunshadow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 769670
 
They Didn't Count on This - A hand recount could have favored Bush.

By Larry Kudlow, NR contributing editor

Before the U.S. Supremes stopped the latest Florida recount late
Saturday afternoon, all the usual pundocracy suspects kept chanting that
since Al Gore would win this recount &emdash; just as soon as the early tallies
were posted &emdash; the public tide would shift back to Gore. In other words,
W. was destined to lose, either in the court of public opinion or in
the court of the final recount.

But wait just one minute.

A couple of news articles posted on the web last Saturday morning
suggested that the pundits might well be wrong, and Bush might well win
the recount. Now, don't get me wrong on this. For all the good
conservative constitutional reasons &emdash; including equal protection, due
process, and separation of powers &emdash; I'm hoping that the U.S.
Supremes shut down Al Gore's recount water completely. But there is a
part of me that would like to see a totally clear-cut vote-count victory
for Bush &emdash; even if it would be his fifth recount victory.

And that brings me back to these unnoticed weekend news stories.
According to Harvard University government professor Jasjeep Sekhon,
"Gore may not be clearly advantaged by the statewide recount of the
undercounted ballots." Sekhon is one of a group of statistical experts
from Harvard, U. Cal Berkeley, Cornell, and Northwestern who have
carefully analyzed the data in Florida's 67 counties. Their latest
conclusion: "It's anybody's ballgame, although the pattern suggests Bush
may gain more votes than Gore."

The academics note that data from Palm Beach and Broward counties show
that when ballots were examined by hand, Bush gained more than Gore. In
addition to the professors, the left-leaning Miami Herald also reported
on Saturday that its own precinct-by-precinct statistical analysis
suggests that the votes are not there for Gore. In fact, the Herald
believes the recount could boost Bush's lead by about 40 votes. There's
a new twist: if disputed dimpled ballots were counted as votes, Bush
could actually win the state by 278 votes.

So as I watched various cable talking head shows, I kept thinking about
these studies as various pundits hammered away that Gore would win were
it not for the intrusion of the U.S. Supremes. In particular, I'd like
to award Time magazine's Evan Thomas and Margaret Carlson as the worst
offenders.

Two more points on the statistics of vote counting. First, this
afternoon, the Atlanta appeals court agreed with a federal judge who
refused to throw out 2,400 of Florida's overseas ballots &emdash; mostly from
military personnel. So, at least there is some sanity in the legal
process.
Meanwhile, an AP story filed this afternoon reports that election
officials in Okaloosa and DeSoto counties added 26 overseas votes for
Bush.
That of course still leaves roughly 1,500 military ballots uncounted.
But in the AP news article describing the 11th Circuit's decision, it
was noted that "the appeals court rejected the claims of lawyers
representing 13 individual Democratic voters whose lawsuits were
combined before federal judges." Let me repeat that: Democratic
lawsuits.

As I have written earlier, this Democratic party assault on the voting
rights of U.S. servicemen and women really burns me up. Though
Democratic party officials from the top all the way down still deny it,
a good chunk of Al Gore's recount strategy always included attempts to
throw out the military ballots. This process was started by Tallahassee
Democratic lawyer Mark Herron, with his infamous memo to thousands of
Democratic poll watchers and ballot counters. And the party of
Jefferson and Jackson is still lying about this.

At least a couple of House Democrats, namely Rep. Gene Taylor of
Mississippi, and Neal Abercrombie of Hawaii, are willing to hold
congressional hearings on the subject. But Gephardt et. al. in the
leadership have been shadowboxing and backpedaling on the issue all
along. Ditto for the Gore-Lieberman high command. This distasteful and
unpatriotic performance gets little discussion from the army of TV
talking heads.

Last point, there are still 5,000 felon votes counted in Al Gore's
total.
How it is they can be counted is beyond me. The kangaroo court Florida
Supremes never talk about this, just as they never discuss the travesty
of the disqualified military ballots. But virtually all of the felon
votes are registered Democrats. What a surprise.



To: sunshadow who wrote (111412)12/11/2000 11:22:21 PM
From: zonkie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670
 
>>>>"It was all of those people that voted for Buchanan by mistake and then punched Gore second that got us into this mess. Gore would have won by over 6 or 8 thousand votes if it wasn't for the over votes."

Source please... I missed this one also. Thanks<<<

On election day this thread had 64,000 votes or close to that you should find a source in the next few thousand after that. Try about 67000 or so. Have you really not heard about the butterfly ballot?

The 6 or 8 thousand was just a guess on my part, no one knows for sure. I think I was being conservative.