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Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rudedog who wrote (87826)12/13/2000 9:17:42 AM
From: Andreas  Respond to of 97611
 
Thread;

The following is taken from a ML statement by Steve fortuna issued this morning; "The revenue shortfall is on the order of $1 billion,
roughly equally divided between consumer PCs,
commercial PCs, and low-end servers. It appears only
North America was impacted. Inventory levels appear
to be tracking in the normal four week range on the
commercial side and seven weeks on the retail side, a
few weeks above the normal range.
 The shortfall puts the 4Q revenue line in the $11.2-
$11.4 billion range, even below our recently revised
estimate, which was well below the Street consensus
$12.3-$12.4 billion. For 4Q we are cutting our sales
and EPS forecast to $11.43 billion (up 9.1%) and
$0.28 from $11.84 billion (up 13.0%) and $0.30.
 We are maintaining our 7.0% revenue growth
assumption ($45.2 billion) for next year, down slightly
from our previous forecast of $45.7 billion owing to a
lower base. Our $1.05 EPS forecast also remains
intact. We reiterate our Accumulate rating on Compaq
shares."

The above answers my question as to whether or not the sales shortfall came exclusively from consumer pcs. Apparently not! The sales loss was shared equally among consumer pcs, commercial pcs and low-end servers.



To: rudedog who wrote (87826)12/13/2000 10:10:13 AM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
rude.... sadly, I was right. And to make matters worse, I can't imagine what would/could be a catalyst, other than a nice earnings report, to move this stock up anytime soon. Means to me that we are stuck in this range for at least 3 months. I doubt that Q1 will be anything to write home about. I've found that that one can be more accurate in thinking the worst with this company than thinking the best. El