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Gold/Mining/Energy : Canadian Oil & Gas Companies -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Richard Saunders who wrote (7839)12/14/2000 3:49:21 PM
From: SofaSpud  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24933
 
G'nite Gracie, indeed. Interesting financing.



To: Richard Saunders who wrote (7839)1/10/2001 9:44:33 PM
From: John Trudeau  Respond to of 24933
 
Richard, speaking of kaching, T.SEY is looking pretty good.

JT:)



To: Richard Saunders who wrote (7839)1/12/2001 9:23:40 PM
From: CIMA  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 24933
 
OPEC is to enact a production cut of at least 1.5 million barrels
per day at its Jan. 17 summit. The combination of global demand
dynamics and internal OPEC politics will lead to a cut in
production and a subsequent increase in prices - over the short
term. Changes afoot in the supply side of the equation, however,
will change producer dynamics, both among OPEC members and among
other producers. This combined with an increasingly sluggish
global economy indicates that producer competition over the next
year will depress oil prices after an initial short-term price
spike.

Analysis

OPEC's power relies on control of oil production. As long as OPEC
members adhere to internal agreements on production and its
market share remains relatively stable, OPEC will succeed in
manipulating prices. This has been the case since OPEC began its
last round of production cuts in March 1999.

OPEC cut petroleum production in response to the surplus that
followed the Asian financial crisis of 1997-1998. Lack of demand
deprived oil-producing states and oil firms of capital for the
development of new fields, transport pipelines and tankers. This
created a state of suspension in the oil market, preserving the
balance of power among producers within and outside OPEC. The new
environment was simultaneously cash poor but opportunity rich.
Expensive long-term projects in the Caspian, Southeast Asia and
deepwater Africa were either scaled back or put on hold.

The effect was a slow but steady rise in prices throughout 1999
and 2000, despite repeated OPEC production increases in 2000. The
trend continued until two new elements - President Bill Clinton's
decision to dump 30 million barrels from its Strategic Petroleum
Reserve on the market and sharply slower American and Japanese
economic growth - forced prices down during the tail end of last
year. Since the United States has refrained from further releases
and the producer situation has remained stable, OPEC pre-eminence
has prevailed. OPEC ministers will meet Jan. 17 against this
backdrop.

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