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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bambs who wrote (44647)12/15/2000 5:20:50 PM
From: kvkkc1  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 77397
 
re: Next years sell off will make this years look like a little pull back. Their will be bankruptcy's all over the place and the dow and s&p will be crushed. 1500 will be a mid point low next year I think with 1000 ish being a base toward year end. I don't think you have any idea how much the bond market and bad debt is going to punish corporate america and the US dollar.>

That's the most asinine statement you've ever made. In order to be equal to this year's selloff, the market would have to go to 0. Even though you have been right reference market movements since your call to short at 70, don't make yourself out to be a fortune teller. knc



To: bambs who wrote (44647)12/15/2000 5:55:06 PM
From: The Phoenix  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 77397
 
Message 15025074

Bambs... I think you may have missed this post. Take another look.

As you can read I do think there is more softness ahead. My point with you has been that you continue to try to demonstrate knowledge of the markets in which CSCO plays in and what will impact CSCO - in fact this is how your posts started on the thread when you suggested ARPT would take on CSCO. It's clear now that you understand that you in fact don't have this grasp...

... we don't understand csco, it's products or services. I know that I don't understand every detail of their business.

Given this I think you should stick to macro issues and perhaps spread your comments onto threads that are more macro focused where they will have better play. Here you are attempting to draw analogy's to CSCO when you admittedly haven't the grasp of the market.

Did you know that CSCO sells to markets outside of the US? Do you know the overall impact of the bond market to CSCO's customers??? How much of CSCO enterprise customer base is financing its purchases with bonds? How many will reduce costs by outsourcing??? Technology is a tool to generate demand but more importantly a tool for cutting costs and companies may look for ways to deploy solutions which reduce expenses which improve the bottom line. CSCO's exposure to telco is far far less than company's like LU, NT, ALA yet yo post here.. which tells me that you really don't understand CSCO at all.

wrt to earnings... this has been hashed so many times it's begining to sound like that droning I used to hear in elementary school "I know you are but what am I". We've addressed this... think about top line growing at 60%, steady margins, yet flat earnings. Ever think about where the money is going?????

OG