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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Anthony Clement who wrote (25502)12/16/2000 1:22:41 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
Clementine, market can only be held back somewhat
got a spare $5 billion ?

we should have a running start into the Fed Meeting
a big Naz run prior would work toward preempting any rate cut

but the economy is the overriding concern
retail spending was negative in Nov, with car sales halted
bank portfolios are showing a lot of strain
GDP growth has gone from 5.5% to 2.4% very quickly
(Fed states lower speed limit as 3%)
3 month TBill yield is 50 bpt BELOW FedFunds rate

the big question is how much damage the Fed wants
remember these guys are largely incompetent on a grand scale
and unaccountable
half the Board regards inflation as still a threat
and this little slowdown as quite temporary

Fed stands pat, goes to easing cycle, and indicates strong likelihood of cutting in Jan30th FOMC

you dont take the Fed hostage ever
unaccountable <==> never hostage
/ jim