To: axial who wrote (9750 ) 12/17/2000 3:10:55 AM From: elmatador Respond to of 12823 What really happened in the last five years? I am trying to remember XMAS time 5 years ago. Multimedia would take the world by storm. WLL (telephony) was the rage. In the CATV sector nothing was happening in the US pending the Telecom Act of 1996. So CATV companies such as Scientific Atlanta and all were trying to sell CATV gear in other countries. (That's why the buzz word Multimedia came to the fore.) The WTO was discussing liberalization on basic telecommunications. Remember the term Information Superhigway? It is 1995 vintage! By Information Superhighway people thought you would get a blue print and would build a network (it was named GII) anew. Where is GII today? On Telecom 95, Ray Smith, CEO of Bell Atlantic, summarized the changes currently taking place when he said “Soon we will have televisions that can listen, PCs that can speak, and telephones you can watch.” After 5 years I am still waiting for this happen. I know how Japan Inc. operates. I know how German Inc. operates. But I don't know how US Inc. operates. You North America-based guys do. But just to tell what I think goes on in US Inc. Ok, US Inc. has no Keiretsus, no Chaebols, cross shareholding or banks owning chunks in big companies. But you have top brass seating in each other companies' boards. Those guys may not be competing against each other as fiercely as one would imagine. People who has power, and people who have money tend to be very conservative they are not exactly as revolutionary as one would expect. The point I want to drive is: Those guys in CATV. wireless and those guys in the ILECs'; vendors and operators alike, they have a common interest that they may not be willing to disturb the status quo. Hence nothing much happened in the past five years as it will not change too much in the next five. Xmas 1995 I had a dial up connection. I still do today. Hopefully I will be on a higher rate wire (or wireless) in 2005.