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Strategies & Market Trends : Rande Is . . . HOME -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Rande Is who wrote (43648)	12/16/2000 11:38:25 AM
From: Bucky Katt	Respond to of 57584

Rande, I like option #5, if for no other reason than Xmas is coming and the FED, realizing the slowdown has traction, and might spin out of control, will ease the .25 point. At worst, #2 will happen. Either way, we are due for a bounce, and I have adjusted for it. Message 15030688 Jolly old St. Greenspan perhaps? Also, we talked maybe a year or so back about a China devaluation of it's yuan, and there is an article in Barron's about it called "China Boosts Exports With Stealth Devaluation".

To: Rande Is who wrote (43648)	12/16/2000 12:32:53 PM
From: kha vu	Respond to of 57584

#4: vote for this option #4. Bulls get what they want. They Also get the warning that if things heating up then a raise in rate is NOT ruled out. Options #5, #6 sound like the FED admitting the "R"ecession is in sight and is the result of their rate increases. Option #6 is strong dose and pushing the market to 500-1000 points rally BUT also admitting that "R" is around the corner.

To: Rande Is who wrote (43648)	12/16/2000 3:51:54 PM
From: carepedeum2000	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 57584

rande- #4 would be weird but highly doutfull, greenspan likes to telegraph his moves, and he doesnt like surprises (unless their good surprises) im afraid the best we can hope for is a loosening bias, i just dont think he is going to give us a 1/4 point unless it looks like financial meltdown on monday, pessimism is back in growing mode,my guess would be loosening bias, my hope would be 1/4 point decrease, but the odds are against actual rate decrease at this time imo but hey, i have felt pretty dumb since tuesday

To: Rande Is who wrote (43648)	12/17/2000 12:46:09 PM
From: Robert V. Cavaleri	Respond to of 57584

Rande, excellent job codifying the possible hands that the fed may deal us next week. Here are a few other bullets that I saw on other message boards over the weekend that will be interesting to factor in over the next few months: BREAKING NEWS..Bush to meet with Greenspan on Monday to talk about the US economy.......EOM.......From MSNBC And Bush Signals $1.3 Trillion Tax Cut Nonnegotiable December 17, 2000 6:15 am EST NEW YORK (Reuters) - President-elect George W. Bush signaled that his proposed $1.3 trillion tax cut was nonnegotiable, calling it "an insurance policy" against an economic downturn in an interview published Sunday. I agreee with others here, that although we may see a near term droop in the market, we are setting up for some great buying opportunities, even in anticipation of what news the fed may bring. be well, Robert