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To: craig crawford who wrote (4099)12/17/2000 12:46:45 PM
From: minorejoy2000  Respond to of 57684
 
Hahn also has a 3500 projection before new lows to 2271.
He has a high Dec 29- Jan 7, but I'm not sure if that's where his 3500 comes into play, but I believe so. Imagine the time frame seems too short to us right now, though...
Unless Tuesday...
M



To: craig crawford who wrote (4099)12/18/2000 6:52:01 AM
From: allen menglin chen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57684
 
Wow, Craig comes back after 10 months of semi-retirement, and predicts a 38% bear market rally :)

BTW, TA likes 38% as a nice Fib #.

NDX reshuffled 12 stocks, and Friday was triple witching. So part of the 2.7 bil volume is probably related to those 2 factors

I still remember when u came back and posted in Oct 99, and how NAZ reacted in the next 5 months!

What were u the last 10 months? How's your life?

Welcome Back to SI!

What's your bet on Greenie Tuesday? A neutral bias would kill any short term rally attemp. A minimum requirement would be biased to the ease side to take the market's fear.



To: craig crawford who wrote (4099)12/18/2000 9:25:05 PM
From: Oak Tree  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 57684
 
Nice analysis -- but I think you are dreaming. Are you trading the NASD market? Are you buying a market indexed mutual?



To: craig crawford who wrote (4099)12/19/2000 5:35:12 AM
From: Yaacov  Respond to of 57684
 
Hi Craig
Read your post and I believe have a point. If I understand you right, you see this rally that by March will put the NAZ at 3,500 and then another dive that will take us to mid-summer?

I understand that the Feds will have a 3 cuts in 2001. The first cut may be taken by the investors "cum grano salis," if it comes today! It "could" terrify the investors and actually push the market further down! If it comes in Jan. then it could be the catalyst for the rally! With two to three cuts we hope to see, an improvment in earning in the second half of 2001 and sustained rally that could take NAZ back to 5000 by the end of 2001. Thank you in advnce,

Yaacov



To: craig crawford who wrote (4099)12/19/2000 12:10:53 PM
From: GST  Respond to of 57684
 
"The FOMC meeting on Tuesday could be just the catalyst the market needs" I think it is the catalyst to pull the last suckers into the market.



To: craig crawford who wrote (4099)12/19/2000 5:00:08 PM
From: Bill Harmond  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57684
 
Sorry I missed your post Craig. Really interesting from a technical perspective.

I'm just not paying much attention to snything right now, because there are so many cross-currents. I think TA is pretty useless this far into a decline, butOn-balance it can really be valuable.