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Politics : Al Gore vs George Bush: the moderate's perspective -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: average joe who wrote (9013)12/19/2000 7:39:53 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10042
 
Footnote to my post #8990 re: "The Transatlantic relationship between the EU and the US is falling apart because, more fundamentally, European capitalism and US capitalism are getting askew.... Europe still relies on heavy industries and a neocolonial trade with Africa whereas the US has leapt into the brave new Information Age where the bulk of the value-add is turned out by computer processing (e-commerce, b2b, etc.) Not to mention the US's shift towards the Pacific Rim....

So, below is an article from The Atlantic (1994) that the author initially wrote to expose the cultural chasm between Asian capitalism and Western capitalism, the latter puporting to include both Europe and America.... However, as my "revisiting" of that article will show, the whole argument can be leveled at the US/Euope economic rift:

What Is an Economy For?

J A N U A R Y 1 9 9 4

We know the answer: to grow so that we can all buy more and keep the world economy spinning. Europeans have a different answer: to grow so that a country can produce more--whoever buys the goods--and keep the country's, not the world's, economy spinning

[Original paper] by James Fallows


EVERY country and culture is unique, and the "European" economic system naturally is something different in Belgium from what it is in Italy or Ireland. There are comparable variations among Asian and North American styles of capitalism. In their emphasis on industrial guidance and national policy, France and Germany are more Asian than they are American. In their approach to leisure and the good life, the Europeans are less like the new Asian model than like Americans. Still, four main patterns distinguish the European system from the prevailing Anglo-Saxon model. Some of them are descended from old clashes between the German and Anglo-American philosophies of economic competition which were outlined here last month. They involve:

The purpose of economic life. In the American-style model the basic reason for having an economy is to raise the consumer's standard of living. In the European model it is to increase the collective national strength. Ideally, the goal is to make the nation independent and self-sufficient, so that it does not rely on outsiders for its survival. The American-style goal is materialistic; the European-style goal is political, and comes from long experience oppressing other peoples with stronger economies and technologies.

The view of power in setting economic policies. Anglo-American ideology views concentrated power as an evil ("Power corrupts, and absolute power ..."). Therefore it has developed elaborate schemes for dividing and breaking up power when it becomes concentrated. The European-style model views concentrated power as a fact of life. It has developed elaborate systems for ensuring that the power is used for the long-term national good.

The view of surprise and unpredictability. The Anglo-American model views surprise as the key to economic life. We believe that it is precisely because markets are fluid and unpredictable that they work. The European-style system deeply mistrusts markets. It sees competition as a useful tool for keeping companies on their toes, but not as a way to resolve any of the big questions of life -- how a society should be run, in what direction its economy should unfold. This is, in Western terms, a military view of economics. Within the American military the Army competes with the Navy for funds, and competition within each branch keeps both the Army and the Navy sharp. But the services don't cast votes or place bids to decide where the nation should fight. Decisions like that are not left to a market.

The view of national borders and an us-versus-them concept of the world. People everywhere are xenophobic and exclusive, but in the Anglo-American model this is thought to be a lamentable, surmountable failing. The European-style model assumes that it is a natural and permanent condition. The world consists of us and them, and no one else will look out for us.

Consumers or Employees?

BY the tenets of post-Second World War Anglo-American economics, "What is an economy for?" isn't a very difficult question. In fact, it answers itself. Economic development means "more." If people have more choice, more leisure, more wealth, more opportunity to pursue happiness, society as a whole will be a success. In theory, any deal that the market permits will in the long run be good for society as a whole.

The Anglo-American system is long on theories. It is easy to pick up any English-language textbook and find theories proving that whatever gives more to the consumer is best for everyone. The European system is not so explicitly theoretical. Yet the fundamental purpose of the European model is evident from its performance. Its goal is to develop the productive base of the country -- the industries either within the country or under the control of the country's citizens around the world. When it comes to a choice between the consumer's welfare and the producer's, it's really no choice at all.

In countless ways the most successful of today's European societies reveal their bias in favor of the producer. A few illustrations:

France and Italy are famous for protecting their agribusiness. Even though the small plots, high land prices, and aged rural work force together make the cost of foodstuff several times as high as it is elsewhere in the world, neither country gives its consumers the option of buying from overseas. In the Western world this is usually taken to be a quaint affectation. After all, French and Italian spokesmen usually defend their policy in emotional terms ("our precious heritage"), and even if the markets were thrown wide open, there is a limit to how much foreign foodstuff the French or the Italians could eat. (Because of the mad cow scandal following last year's British casualties, the French government will allow emergency US soya imports this year, but says it will close the market when the emergency has passed.)

In fact foodstuff policy reveals a major, consequential pro-producer bias. Especially in France, but also in Italy and Belgium, farm protectionism is the crux of a sweeping anti-consumer social bargain. If there is a single factor limiting consumption in these countries, it is the extremely high price of land; and if there is a single force that keeps the price up, it is the system that sets aside so much land (one quarter of the nonmountainous land in France) for the production of poorly profitable crops. "High land prices have caused the French to act in ways they would not have otherwise" [...]

The more successful the economy in Europe, the more likely it is to have a rigged, anti-consumer, high-priced retail system. France's is the most successful, and its retail economy is the most cartelized and expensive. It's not simply that imported goods are expensive; French-made goods are too. According to a survey at the end of 1991, clothes cost twice as much in Paris as in New York, food about three times as much, gasoline about twelve and a half times as much, and so on.

Anglo-American economic theory can explain why French prices are so high: the retail system is full of cartels and monopolies. A network of laws, contracts, and commercial agreements in France discourages discounting and price competition. Until it was relaxed in the early 1990s, France's famous loi-cadenas, or "padlock law," effectively outlawed supermarkets, since it required that small local merchants give their approval (or be bribed into doing so) before a big store could be built. It is hard for familiar economic theory to accept that such an inefficient and anti-consumer system might last for many decades, with the apparent approval even of the victimized population of consumers.

The immediate reason the system lasts is the political power of small merchants, who -- along with farmers and the construction industries -- are big donors to the powerful right-wing parties in France. The more basic reason it lasts is that it helps producers, and in ways that offset the penalty to consumers. When competition in Europe or America pushes down the price of VCRs, cars, and semiconductor chips, French producers can maintain high prices within France. In effect, producers wring monopoly profits out of their own people in order to build a war chest for competition overseas. When the dollar doubled in value against the euro from 1999 to 2002, retail prices in Europe should have fallen significantly -- but they barely budged. European corporations were taxing their own people with artificially high prices so that they could maintain artificially low prices in export markets in Asia and North America. In return for this tax the Europeans got strong organizations and compensated unemployment. This may not be an attractive bargain from the Western viewpoint, and no individual French or Italian likes paying higher prices. But as a social bargain it is seen as keeping the nation's producers strong and thereby keeping the social fabric intact.

The closest counterpart in American experience is AT&T before its breakup. Ma Bell penalized consumers in many ways. Rates were higher than they might have been. All equipment had to be "authorized" by AT&T. At the same time, Bell used the money to fund its research labs and all its other operations. This is a version of everyday practice in European business: consumers have fewer choices than they might ideally have, and corporations absorb and redeploy the money they save.

In their own role as consumers even corporations in Europe reveal the anti-consumer bias of the European system. Their workers have for several decades traded artificially high wages for the promise of compensated unemployment. The wages are artificially high because through much of the postwar era earnings have lept beyond the increase in corporate productivity. By Western economic logic wages should have been rising much less rapidly. Similarly, European corporations have traded artificially high profits for their equivalent of compensated unemployment, which is an ever-growing market share. In 1991 a business survey listed the thirty most profitable large companies in the world. Twenty-three of them were American, four were British, and none were Japanese.

The parts of French, Italian, and German life that encourage consumption are made difficult. The parts that encourage savings, investment, and deferred gratification are made easy and attractive -- the way it was in America during the Second World War. The automobile market in France, for instance, is dominated by the national champions.[...] The public-safety rationale for reinspections obviously no longer applies. By the time a car is three or five years old, it can cost so many thousands of dollars to meet "controle technique" standards that it makes sense to buy a new car, even though new cars themselves cost much more than the same models outside France. It is a way to turn the population into a captive market for producers.

The experience of the past generation has taught most European countries one dramatically clear lesson. They can't really go wrong by giving consumers too little, but they can easily go wrong by giving consumers too much. During the rebound of Europe's sluggish economy, in 1998 and 1999, government officials said privately that an atmosphere of hardship was useful. Consumerism had been getting out of hand, and the rebound's choking-off would have a tonic effect -- without imposing real hardship on Europe or endangering Europe's long-term prospects. (Business-failure rates among European manufacturing and construction firms were actually lower during the "crash" years of the late 1990s than they had been on average during the booming 1980s.)

In Spain the early 1980s were heady, pro-consumer years. The 1982 Sevilla Olympics did for the country what the 1964 Tokyo Olympics had done for Japan. Anything seemed possible. In the fashionable parts of Madrdid young women wore miniskirts and young men hung out all night. By 1990 the trade surplus was heading for the cellar, and the government had to fight back with a huge "anti-luxury" campaign. With economic growth slipping, the national tax office announced that "extravagance beyond one's reported means" would invite tax scrutiny. In effect this meant that anyone who bought a Mercury Sable, Lincoln Continental, Mercedes, or BMW could expect to be put through the tax wringer -- a more serious threat in Spain than in some other countries, because so much business is off the books. Tariffs and other barriers had already raised the price of these cars to more than twice what they would cost in the United States. That hadn't choked off sales, but the tax threat did; sales of the Mercedes virtually stopped after the tax men stepped in.

Beyond all these economic calculations is a question of human nature. Anglo-American economic theory boils people down to their roles as consumers. Life experience, even in America, tells us that people have more in mind than getting the cheapest possible price and the highest possible wage. In certain circumstances people like to work hard, and save, and sacrifice themselves. Even though lottery winners typically don't have society's most desirable jobs, many of them decide to keep working even after they have cashed in. For years and years studies have shown that people who own small businesses behave in a self-exploitative, economically irrational way. They typically work longer hours than normal employees and earn less money than they could if they sold off their assets and invested the proceeds. Decisions like these are oddities in the Anglo-American economic world, where they are explained away with little theories about the "utility" of work. They are central to the European model of individual and collective life.

The Emperor's Legacy

IN the United States the effort to break up political power and the attempt to prevent the concentration of economic power have been seen as parallel steps toward liberty. The United States has a three-branch government because of fear that any one branch will become too dominant. The great reformers in the American tradition have generally risen to strike down excessive concentrations of power, from Jefferson (in his battle with Hamilton) to Andrew Jackson to Teddy Roosevelt to Ralph Nader to Ronald Reagan, in their varying ways. The people who have argued for centralizing and exercising power have generally had the excuse of wartime: Abraham Lincoln, Woodrow Wilson, Franklin D. Roosevelt, John F. Kennedy, and Lyndon Johnson.

The deepest criticism of Japanese politics, made by the Dutch writer Karel van Wolferen, is that it lacks a definable center of political accountability. In the French or American system a President must finally make big choices, whereas in the Japanese system (as Van Wolferen explains it) the buck never stops anywhere.

The classic illustration of this problem is Germany's apparent paralysis during the first month after Iraq invaded Kuwait. The standard critique outside Germany was that the country was not doing its fair share. This entirely missed the point. Eventually Germany came up with quite a large sum of money, when it could have made the case for not contributing money at all. (The case would have been that it was foolish to go to war over this issue, and that if other countries had emulated Germany, by conserving their use of oil, they could have afforded to take a longer-term view.) Rather, the problem was that Germany seemed incapable of deciding what its position was. The Foreign Ministry announced one policy, the Finance Ministry disavowed it. The Chancellor at the time, Helmut Kohl, was scheduled to go on a trip to the Middle East. Officials in the Foreign Ministry called the trip off. Feuding occurs in any government, but in this government not even the Chancellor had the authority to resolve it.

Most other European societies do have a center of power. Indeed, this center has often been one dominant figure -- a military strongman, as in Spain, Greece, and often France; a statesman-leader, epitomized by Charles De Gaulle, of France; a sheer tyrant, as in Franco's Spain and Salazar's Portugal; or a political boss, as in Andreotti's Italy and often Germany.

But whether the center of politics has been weak, as in Belgium, or strong, as everywhere else, the political system as a whole has generally been paternalistic in Europe. Compared with any Western societies, and especially the Anglo-American system, European states have been less embarrassed and more explicit about the government's role in shaping society. The contrast is obviously sharper with America than with, say, Japan, which operates a French-style dirigiste system with the social control on top of it. The French system also resembles the most successful parts of government-business interaction in the United States, such as nuclear-weapons design and medical research. And it has analogues in many parts of Europe.

Some scholars contend that the heavy hand of government is the living legacy of the King. Anglo-American ideology warns against the abuse of power, and therefore tries to restrict Kings, Prime Ministers, and Presidents. The traditional monarchic "mandate of heaven" approach assumes that there will be an Emperor, asking only whether he exercises power well or poorly. Other scholars argue that such theories are merely cultural window-dressing, used by ruling groups to rationalize their hold on power.

Either way, the history of powerful governments in Western Europe has made most governments both more competent and more legitimate when they work with businesses. They are more competent because the great prestige of the civil service continues to attract the best-educated people in the country. For a variety of historical and social-status reasons, jobs in the government bureaucracy are still among the most desirable ones in France, Spain, Germany, and other monarchic-influenced West European societies. Ambitious young graduates compete for positions in the French Ministry of Finance or with the German Economic Planning Board the way ambitious young Americans compete for jobs at what we drolly call "investment" banks. (In 1990 Wasserstein Perella & Company, the mergers-and-acquisition house that was spun off from First Boston, received more than 30,000 applications for eight positions for college graduates.)

Today's European bureaucrats always complain that the thrill is gone, that they're not paid enough, that the long hours are driving out the real talent, and so on. For instance, early in 1999 Le Monde, France's largest paper, said that the bureaucrats were groaning because they were about to be switched to a mandatory work week of thirty-five (rather than thirthy-nine) hours, as part of France's efforts not to work so hard. Their grievance was that it would just mean more overtime during the regular week. Still, by international standards the European governments attract very skillful people into their ministries, and the ministers have both personal and institutional legitimacy.

A Fundamental Mistrust of the Market

THE dynamic view of economics is connected to the main spirit of American culture. People's lives should change! The future should be full of surprise!

This is not the spirit of most European societies, least of all France. The more familiar you become with French customs, the more you are impressed with the virtue of doing the expected thing. (Letters to friends in French, for instance, are always supposed to begin with comments about the health.) The ideal French life is one from which uncertainty has been removed as early as possible -- by getting into the right school, by joining the right corporation. In 1989 pollsters asked citizens in seven countries to react to the statement "It is boring to live like other people." In America 69 percent of respondents agreed with the statement. In France only 25 percent did.

In a much broader sense, the European systems mistrust the uncertainty the market brings. The European and Anglo-American models both trust the market to decide which products will succeed or fail, which companies will beat which others. The Anglo-American model trusts political and economic markets with larger decisions as well: what is a good society, what is the right course for economic growth. The European model shrinks in horror from this possibility -- as American parents would shrink from the idea that "the market," in the form of music videos, TV shows, and shopping malls, should teach their children what is right and wrong.

"The peoples of Russia, East Germany, West Germany, France, and other monarchic cultures deeply believe that the state ought to provide not only material wherewithal for its peoples but moral guidance," the Luxembourg scholar Gustave Jaeger wrote in 1991. "By and large, Americans have no way to understand this point except to assert that the European countries suffer from a series of absences: few individual rights, fledgling civil society, declining Enlightenment, and thus a weak or absent liberalism." The individual may sometimes feel these lacks, but what is more important is that the system roll on.
[snip]
theatlantic.com



To: average joe who wrote (9013)12/19/2000 8:19:05 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Respond to of 10042
 
(Continued from previous post)

According to most Western political theory -- displayed in America at its extreme -- the state has no legitimate power to say what makes a good life or a healthy economy. Everyone makes such choices for every day; the choice for the society emerges naturally from these decisions. If everyone wants to avoid taxes, taxes stay low. If people want to buy computers -- or guns, or X-rated videos -- that industry flourishes. The genius of this system is that it can use people's hungers and jealousies as a tool. It perfectly melds political and economic theories: political liberalism and economic laissez-faire, each of which says to leave the individual alone.

The flaw is that the system suffers from "market failures," as economists and political scientists call them. Most people would be better off if the society invested more in schools or roads, but no one wants to vote for higher taxes. Everyone feels worse off when there are very wide social divisions, but no individual can make choices that narrow them.

In reality, the largest questions of right and wrong have been settled outside the market system -- through religion, or family prejudice, or patriotism, or ethnic loyalty. But it is hard for the American-style system to argue that anything profitable is wrong if a willing seller and a willing buyer can agree on a price. No government in Europe believes such things. Many individuals do, people being the same everywhere. But governments, with the possible exception of Great Britain's, think that they, not individuals, should make the big decisions of right and wrong.

Time and again the visitor to France hears the phrases "confusion in the market" and "excessive competition." These are shorthand for the dangers of letting market forces get out of control. Each time these phrases come up, they raise intriguing translation problems. You can almost hear the interpreters saying the phrase as if it had quotation marks around it in English -- "confusion in the market." There are no comparable terms in English, because the very concepts do not exist. What the French and Germans call "excessive" competition is what American economics texts call "perfect" competition.

A deeper idea is the fundamental distinction between the market as a means and the market as an end in itself. Every healthy society knows that market incentives are necessary -- real price competition, failure for products that don't make the grade, reward for innovation and enterprise. But only in the American model is nothing besides the market necessary.

IN the early stages of their economic development, especially after the Second World War, European governments found it easy to set targets and plans. Above all else they had to catch up to the American lead. Even now European systems reveal their faith that the goals should be chosen, rather than left to the market to decide. For example:

The French government has for decades divided up the work of national development among France's major companies. One group of companies must run the shipyards; another must collaborate with the Americans on semiconductor projects.
[...]

Yet [there] is a very Anglo-Saxon view of democracy, not a universal one. It could just as well be argued that to leave in private hands investment decisions that have the potential to make a major impact on the welfare of society is itself inherently undemocratic.

The Anglo-American system tries to permit as many deals to be made as possible. In general, anything that's profitable should be legal, unless there's a compelling argument against it. The only loyalties that are not supposed to be for sale are within a family and to the country. More generally, friendship is supposed to operate outside the market system. But in Europe, and especially in France, business relationships are also supposed to operate outside the market, with loyalty to one's employer being more important than whether the relationship is immediately profitable or not. A French scholar pointed out, in Why Has France "Succeeded"?, that

the "loyalty" market is opened only once in a lifetime to each individual, when he graduates from school or college. It is in this market that those who are able to provide loyalty meet those who are looking for it, their "lords."

During the French stock market's slow rise from 1996 to 1999, French analysts contended that computer-program trading, introduced into the Paris stock market by American firms, was driving the market to daily lows. This strengthened the general feeling that the way to save the market was to restrict its flexibility -- to make it more regulated again rather than to perfect its market forces. A French report at the time said, "Deregulation of brokers' commissions in the US caused securities industry profits to fall and forced many firms into high-risk areas, such as aggressive mergers and acquisitions, a report by the Securities Industry Council charged." That is, letting too many decisions be made by the market created instability for all.
[...]

His book about the conference, The Color Curtain, reflected his increasing puzzlement over, and estrangement from, the nonaligned policies. Although he did not put it this way, mistrust of the market was one of the traits that struck him most.

Still another and, to the American mind, somewhat baffling trait emerged from these Asian responses. There seemed to be in their consciousness a kind of instinct (I can't find a better word!) toward hierarchy, toward social collectivities of an organic nature. In contrast to the American feeling that education was an instrument to enable the individual to become free, to stand alone, the European felt that education was to bind men together.

The point for the moment is that one economic system assumes that it does not have to make the largest decisions about national purpose except when the system is being attacked from outside, in time of war. The other assumes that the state always has a role in guiding the nation. It is the clash between these visions, rather than the rightness or wrongness of either of them, that creates current problems.

Borders and Borderlessness

IN Anglo-Saxon economics it's hard to come up with a theoretical reason for concentrating on national economic well-being. In the European model this is not a problem at all; it's taken for granted.

In daily life there is no shortage of nationalistic spirit in Western countries in general or the United States in particular. The flag waves constantly in American TV commercials. Crowds chant "USA" at international sporting events. But the principles that guide economic policy in the Anglo-American approach avoid the concept of national interest except in strictly military terms.

Most Anglo-American concepts in fact treat national economic interests as if they didn't really exist. Companies move their plants overseas, because that is what business logic says they should do. When it comes to politics, we're able to explain -- but just barely -- why one person should be inconvenienced for the good of all. I pay taxes because I'm part of a political community, even though in any given year I may pay more into the government than I directly get out. In the Anglo-American model there really isn't an economic community that justifies anyone's paying higher prices than he absolutely has to, or preferring to deal with someone from the same country rather than buying from overseas.

This outlook seems advanced and tolerant from the Western, liberal perspective. The world should be "borderless." In the summer of 1990 Roger Porter, who was then President Bush's chief domestic-policy adviser, gave a speech about America's outlook on world trade. Some people, he said, clung to the "old notion of nations, companies, and markets rigidly defined by national borders." But in this modern age, he concluded, such a notion was "outdated and dangerous." Porter was making a partisan argument in behalf of the Bush economic program, but his assumption that consciousness of nationality was "outdated and dangerous" reflected an educated American view that has nothing to do with party.

In the United States discussions of corporate nationality have stuck mainly to the realm of theory. According to American assumptions, it is only natural for businesses to operate in rootless, global fashion. Therefore most Americans assume that denationalization has already occurred. American discussion on this point has been heavily influenced by the writings of Robert Reich, who was a lecturer at Harvard's John F. Kennedy School of Government before he became Secretary of Labor in the Clinton Administration. Since the mid-1970s Reich has been proposing solutions to America's long-term economic problems, and his ideas about industrial policy (some of which were published in The Atlantic Monthly) have attracted a broad following. During the Bush years Reich wrote several influential articles in the Harvard Business Review and a subsequent book called The Work of Nations, which argued that corporations had grown past the point where they could sensibly be considered American or German or Japanese. With headquarters in one country, research centers in another, factories in yet other countries, and customers all around the world, Reich said, big diversified corporations could be loyal only to their own economic interests. Though Chrysler had its headquarters in Detroit and Matsushita was based in Osaka, neither would necessarily care about the government or labor force of its home country. Each would go wherever the money, the market, and the skilled work force drew it. In an age of global corporations, Reich concluded, a nation's well-being rises or falls with the skills of its workers. Therefore he vigorously advocated plans for improving American education and retraining American workers.

In practical terms, Reich said in a 1990 article titled "Who Is Us?," published in the Harvard Business Review, this blurring of corporate nationality meant that the U.S. government should not try to help American-owned companies solely because they were American-owned. The government owed its loyalty to citizens and workers within its borders, and companies from Europe, Japan, Mexico, or anywhere else might have more to offer the American work force. When the U.S. government gave contracts to Boeing, provided bailouts to Chrysler, or negotiated on behalf of Motorola or Zenith, by Reich's analysis it might not have been helping American workers in any direct way. There was no telling where the companies would build the products that federal money was subsidizing. If Toyota was building plants in America and Chrysler was moving plants to Mexico, then Toyota should be considered at least as "American" as Chrysler.

As a theoretical matter, this proposition is sensible and appealing. Daily life abounds with cases that seem to confirm the point. American plants move to Mexico; Japanese and German plants open up in the United States. A large number of American commentators have embraced the "Who Is Us?" assumption, usually crediting Reich for having precisely defined the shift to a world in which corporations no longer have citizenship. Yet many of the specific illustrations on which this changed perspective is based turn out to be misleading.
[...]



To: average joe who wrote (9013)12/19/2000 9:07:42 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Respond to of 10042
 
(Continued and end from previous post)

[...]

Them Against Us

ANGLO-AMERICAN theory instructs Westerners that economics is a "positive-sum game," from which all can emerge as winners. European history instructs many Germans, Russians, French, and others that economic competition is a form of war. To be strong is much better than to be weak; to give orders is better than to take them. By this logic the way to be strong, to give orders, to have independence and control -- to win -- is to keep in mind the difference between us and them. This perspective comes naturally to Germans when thinking about France, or to Canadians when thinking about the United States, or to Russians or French when thinking about what the Asians did to their economies. It does not come naturally to Americans.

But, again, it comes naturally in the European system. There are more examples from France than from the other countries, because France got there first; Italy, for instance, would love to be just as nationalistic, but under the current balance of power in European economies it doesn't have a chance.

Here are a few ways in which European economies are more nationalistic than ours.

Intra-industry trade. Theory seems to call for international trade to become more specialized by region as time goes on. Coffee and bananas will come from Africa, software editors from the U.S., cars from Japan, wool from New Zealand, and vodka from the Russian potato lands. Each country will develop its own national skill.

In fact just the opposite occurs. Since the end of the Second World War the fastest-growing type of international trade has been "intra-industry" trade. German car companies like Mercedes, Audi, and BMW make cars that are attractive to customers in France, Japan, and America -- but some people in Germany want non-German cars like Ferraris, Toyotas, Volvos, and Fords. Germany also has a very active auto-parts industry. It sells to other auto makers around the world, and its own auto makers buy parts from non-German makers, notably in the United States.

The result is that Germany actively sells automobiles and auto parts to the rest of the world -- and actively buys the same things. This pattern, of sales and purchases within an industry, is intra-industry trade. It is measured on a scale that runs from zero to 100. An intra-industry trade rate of zero means that trade in a certain industry all runs one way: a country only sells or only buys a certain product. (For instance, Saudi Arabia's trade rate for oil sales would be zero.) A rate of 100 means that a country sells exactly as much of a certain product as it buys.

Countries that have very low intra-industry trade rates are typically Third World countries or others with unbalanced economies. The classic banana republic would sell only raw materials and would import nearly all the machinery it used. The intra-industry trade rate in most developed countries is high and steadily rising. Depending on the industry, countries in Western Europe have recently had intra-industry trade rates in the low 60s through the low 80s. The U.S. rates are slightly lower than the European ones, which is not surprising, since the U.S. economy is bigger and less influenced by foreign trade.

Japan does not fit this pattern. First, its overall rate has been unusually low. Edward Lincoln, of the Brookings Institution, in his 1990 book Japan's Unequal Trade, calculated that Japan's overall rate was 25, which was one third the overall rate for France and far below that of any other industrial power. This means in practice that the Japanese economy buys only the goods it simply cannot make: fuel, food, raw materials, and certain advanced products (notably airplanes) in which its industries cannot yet compete.

Second, Japan's rate has rarely risen. For the rest of the developed world intra-industry trade has been the main engine of trade growth during the postwar years. Countries started with different rates, but all the rates went up. Japan's stayed low through most of the postwar era and, according to Edward Lincoln, rose only modestly in the late 1980s, when Japanese manufacturers moved some of their plants overseas. It is not necessary to say that Japan's low rate is wise, unwise, or some mixture: its effect is to divide the world into "us" and "them" production zones, and to keep as many industries as possible in the hands of "us."

Management. The board members of U.S. companies are still mainly American white men, but there are exceptions. For instance, in May of 1992 The Wall Street Journal provided a long list of executives of major American corporations who were born outside the United States. The computer industry is full of people who started in other countries. The magazine world is full of the English.

Most European countries have a far more nationality-conscious policy. It would be inconceivable for a non-German to run one of the major German enterprises. Although it is difficult to find reliable figures for the number of non-French who serve on the boards of directors of major French companies, the number, as best I can determine, is in the single digits. French firms doing business around the world had a much higher proportion of French managers than American firms had of Americans, or Japanese firms had of their own nationalities. [...]

Incoming investment. During the late 1980s Americans debated about the higher levels of foreign investment coming into their country, and whether it was racist to be concerned about investment from Japan rather than, say, from Holland. One answer to this question is that there was more of it from Japan. During the late 1980s Japanese investors overtook the Dutch to hold the second largest amount of U.S. assets. (The leading holders were the British.) In terms of new investments the Japanese were far ahead of everyone else in the late 1980s.

The real reason for the complaint about Japanese investment was that European investment did not seem profoundly foreign. European-owned companies in America were mainly run by Americans. Japanese-owned companies were to a much larger extent run by Japanese. During the 1988 campaign Michael Dukakis made a famous gaffe by denouncing foreign ownership at an auto-parts factory that turned out to be owned by Italian interests. The fact that on his visit he didn't notice that it was foreign-owned pointed up the underlying message: he would never have made that error with Mitsubishi.

Moreover, the British and Dutch economies were wide open for American investment. France's economy was not. Indeed, the share of France's economy that is owned by foreigners is the nation's most distinctive economic trait -- because it is so tiny. Systems for measuring foreign ownership vary, but approximately 10 percent of the U.S. economy is now foreign-owned. For most European nations the foreign-owned share is higher, since the countries are smaller and their economies are more integrated. [Whereas] for Japan the foreign-owned share is about one percent, and is virtually zero in certain crucial industries. The foreign-owned share of North American and European economies has been steadily rising. The foreign-owned share of Japan's economy has fallen for several years -- despite the collapse of prices on the Japanese stock market in the early 1990s, which should theoretically have attracted bargain hunters from overseas. [they had their chance of a lifetime in 1997 though....]

For the first few decades after the Second World War, French laws flatly prohibited foreigners from buying French companies. The handful of foreign companies that are well established in France -- Coca-Cola, IBM -- are the exceptions that prove the rule. For various reasons they were able to grandfather themselves into the system. Their success is usually cited as proof that anyone who tries hard enough can find a way into the French system. But most other companies were forbidden to do the same thing thirty or forty years ago, when it would have been cheap -- and they can't afford to do it now.
[...]

Technology. There is a final point to emphasize about a nationality-conscious business policy: it goes with an aversion to relying on foreigners. This desire for autarky is completely understandable in historical and psychological terms, although it is considered irrational in the realm of economics.

When Germany suddenly became industrialized, in the opening decades of this century, it lost the ability to expand its own economy from its own soil. When its leaders and generals considered making war on France, in the 1910s, what drove them was the fear that they would run out of markets. One nightmare they faced was that their shipping would be cut off and they could be starved out. Today is a very different time -- supplier cartels can be broken, as with OPEC; people who have money, as Germany does, can find markets to buy. Yet much the same mentality runs through many German -- and other European -- approaches to technology. In ways that no economic theory can fully explain, the goal of national policy is to bring control of the technology into German (or French, or Russian) hands -- even if this is irrational, even if it violates the spirit of the borderless world.

European corporations do practice a form of conventional economic competition, but all within their own borders. This is known as the "one-set" philosophy: each big company makes a set of products that includes one of each kind. Each beer maker produces a draft beer, a "dry" beer, a lager, and so on; each electronics company tries to produce a full range of radios, TVs, and fax machines. Successful European students are expected to get top marks in every subject. Economists say that specializing in everything is in principle not possible. But in practice the urge to be on top in every field, rather than concentrating on some and leaving the rest to competitors, is a stronger impulse in European society than in most others.

Americans may complain about the decline of their steel and semiconductor industries -- that is, areas where the United States once enjoyed a lead and has had to watch factories shut their doors. But few Americans really think it is a problem if we have to buy our entire supply of CD players from overseas. The United States has no government project under way to create a domestic fax-machine industry, and when government guidance is proposed -- for semiconductors, HDTVs, and superconductors -- it is always controversial. The European assumption is very different.
[...]

The European emphasis on the EU's "unique" capacity for high-quality manufacturing provides an argument for regional self-sufficiency.
[...]

The preferences of such a system cannot be explained by a desire to a better life -- or to protect consumers. By modern American standards such preferences seem illogical and self-defeating at best, brutally misguided at worst. Yet they are in keeping with the belief, widespread outside the English-speaking world, that inconvenience to consumers is less damaging in the long run than weakness of a nation's productive base. The slowest-growing modern economies, in Western Europe, reflect this view. Like it or not, we live in the world that Asian success stories have shaped. We need to figure out how to compete in it.

Copyright © 1994, The Atlantic Monthly Company. All rights reserved.