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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bernard Levy who wrote (117247)12/17/2000 6:13:33 PM
From: Sedohr Nod  Respond to of 769670
 
Grin...actually the guy always told me to be on the lookout for a package. He told me if he ever robbed a bank he was going to mail the "proceeds" to me. One day I got a package from him....was a bit nervous opening it up(in private of course). Turns out it was a box full of cherries he had sent from California. It was the thought that counted though....grin



To: Bernard Levy who wrote (117247)12/17/2000 7:06:11 PM
From: puborectalis  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670
 
How the world sees President-elect
Bush

December 14, 2000
Web posted at: 9:04 PM EST (0204 GMT)

By Tony Karon

(TIME.com) -- Whether they like him or not, at least the rest of the world
believes they already know President-elect George W. Bush. The reason is
obvious: He's relying mostly on the heavy hitters of his father's administration to
manage his foreign policy. The most reassuring aspect of the troubled
post-election for foreign powers has been the certainty of continuity -- either
with the Clinton administration or with the Bush administration that preceded it.
Moscow, Beijing, Tokyo, Paris, London, the Middle Eastern power players and
all the others believe they know what to expect of the new administration, and
that removes the discomforts of uncertainty. They all filed the diplomatically de
rigueur congratulations overnight, and their expressions of confidence in the new
Bush administration were likely heartfelt -- officials around the world reminisced
enthusiastically about the scion of a president best remembered as a sober and
steady hand on the tiller of foreign policy.

But whether they have good reason to be
cheerful about Bush's victory differs from
region to region. After all, the President-elect
and his advisers made clear throughout the
campaign that they will manage foreign policy
on the basis of national interest, rather than
the fuzzier humanitarian concepts erratically
invoked by a Clinton administration that failed
to establish a cohesive foreign policy vision.

Russia, for example, must expect a U.S. administration more willing to
arm-wrestle and less inclined to view the post-Soviet Kremlin as an ally. And the
Bush administration's proposal to build a comprehensive missile defense shield
will place relations on a wary footing from the outset. But Moscow's own
foreign policy demeanor has shifted toward defining its relations with
Washington on more overtly competitive terms, and the symmetry created by a
more hardball U.S. administration may in fact underscore stability as it did during
the Cold War.

Beijing, for its part, is not expecting a sea change. Where the Clinton
administration harangued China periodically about human rights, the Bush
administration may be more likely to draw lines in the sand on issues such as the
sale of missile technology to third countries. But the bottom line for both teams
has been opening up China for business, and President-elect Bush was a hearty
supporter of lifting the annual congressional review of trade relations between
the two countries. And his administration would likely maintain a regional balance
in pursuing separate U.S. relations with India, Pakistan, North Korea, South
Korea and the Pacific Rim countries, all dedicated to maintaining stability and
expanding trade.

The old Bush team was well-regarded in Europe, and although W.'s intention to
hightail it out of the Balkans as soon as possible may irk some European NATO
allies, many of those same allies took a dim view of the Clinton administration's
gung-ho interventionism over last year's Kosovo crisis and may welcome the
more cautious Colin Powell as a replacement for the crusading Madeleine
Albright. But issues ranging from trade disputes and global warming to Europe's
plans for its own umbrella military force and the opposition to U.S. missile
defense plans suggest relations with Europe won't be smooth sailing.

The Middle East may be the region most inclined to fear -- or welcome -- the
changing of the guard in Washington. President Clinton has been the most
pro-Israel president in U.S. history, and wishful thinking has abounded
throughout the Arab world about the meaning of a Bush victory. To be sure,
Bush the elder was considerably more even-handed than Clinton has been in
balancing relations with Israel and moderate Arab regimes, but the domestic
political climate in the U.S. has shifted considerably behind Israel over the past
decade, fueled as much by the administration's own enthusiasm for peacemaking
as by Christian conservative support for the Jewish state. A Bush administration
is likely to put a greater distance between itself and the minutiae of the region's
peace efforts than Clinton did, but then again, with the Israeli peace camp
looking set for a drubbing at the polls, there may be no peace process to speak
of for some years yet.

Developing countries, particularly in Africa, probably have the least to cheer
about in a Bush victory. Clinton at least maintained an emotional interest in
promoting African development and putting African issues on the global agenda,
but Bush's national-interest-oriented foreign policy is unlikely to find much cause
for active engagement with Africa. In Latin America, of course, there are more
pressing security concerns. In particular, the Bush administration will inherit Plan
Colombia, which dramatically increases military aid to the beleaguered regime in
Bogota, ostensibly to combat drug cultivation, but which also has the potential to
draw U.S. into the quagmire of that country's civil war.

One of the first questions that will land on the desk of the new administration
will be Osama Bin Laden. U.S. investigators are still trying to tie him to the
October bombing of the USS Cole, and if they do, the debate in Washington over
the efficacy of armed retaliation will heat up. Back in Bush Senior's day,
terrorism was primarily a state-sponsored business -- when the bad guys struck,
you immediately went looking for the sponsor and either bombed Libya or
sanctioned Syria or whatever. The Bin Laden phenomenon of an international
terrorist network independent of states is a distinctly post–Cold War
phenomenon, and the world will be watching to see what new insights the Bush
team brings to this particular battle.

While a Bush administration's foreign policy may be substantially different from
Clinton's in key areas, he's anything but an unknown quantity. If anything, world
leaders may be cautiously optimistic about seeing more coherence and
predictability in a Bush foreign policy than they've seen under his predecessor.

Copyright © 2000 Time Inc.