The Test of His Life President Bush: He’s headed for the White House, but now he’ll have to transcend the carnage of winning. How the rules of Texas and B-school will play in D.C. By Howard Fineman and Martha Brant NEWSWEEK
Dec. 25 issue — Al Gore’s aides had passed the word to Austin earlier in the day: The Call would come that night at 7:45 Texas time—precisely 15 minutes before the vice president’s concession speech.
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GEORGE W. BUSH planned his evening accordingly. For the last meal before his transformation into a president-elect, he chose comfort food and quiet. In a small dining room on the first floor of the governor’s mansion, he joined his wife, Laura, and aide-de-camp Karen Hughes (and her son, Robert, 13) for a supper of meatloaf, mashed potatoes and green beans. His aides had told Gore’s people to call the mansion switchboard, not the private quarters upstairs, where the single line was always in use. “We were afraid he’d get a busy signal,” a Bush aide said later, mostly in jest.
As the appointed time approached, others joined Bush by the phone in the study: Don Evans, Texas First Friend and campaign chairman; Andy Card, White House chief-of-staff-to-be. They waited. No call. A few more agonizing minutes ticked by. No call. No one dared say what he was thinking. Finally, at 7:53, the phone rang. It was Gore. “I’m calling to congratulate the 43d president,” he said. “And I promise not to call again.” Bush laughed politely. They commiserated over the torture of it all, and agreed to meet in Washington. “All the best to you and your family,” Bush said, then hung up, smiled—and breathed a sigh of relief. One of the longest, weirdest and most bitterly controversial elections in American history was over.
Campaign 2000 abruptly ended last week after one last vote count—not in Florida, but in the U.S. Supreme Court. A harshly divided high court, issuing a 5-4 ruling, locked down any further recounts in the Sunshine State. In so doing, the court sanctified earlier tallies that had given the state, a micron-thin Electoral College majority, to Bush. After a uniquely grueling 36 days, he had finally won the election on a TKO in the latest available round, outlasting Prince Al the Indefatigable. Now comes the hard part. The question isn’t merely how President Bush will govern, but whether he’ll be able to govern at all. He won, but does he have the wherewithal—and the running room—to rise above the carnage of winning?
Newsweek On Air: President Bush
Bush rides to Washington weaker than Superman in a Suburban full of kryptonite...
Bush rides to Washington weaker than Superman in a Suburban full of kryptonite—all name and no mandate. He is the son of a president, of course (only the second to win the White House), and the first president in history with an M.B.A. Yet 29 percent of voters in the new NEWSWEEK Poll regard him as illegitimate, his victory the result of an outrageous judicial fiat. He lost the popular vote (only the fourth president to have done so) and won an Electoral College majority by two votes. The Florida results are the Grassy Knoll of electoral politics; reporters and researchers soon will be pawing through ballots there in search of proof that Gore was the real winner. Bush’s fellow Republicans will control Congress, but by such small margins that he may be a prisoner of his party, not master of it. As for Democrats, they’re promising an Era of Good Feeling—and sharpening their knives in the alleyways of the abattoir.
And that’s just what awaits Bush in Washington. The rest of the country could be an even bigger problem. While the world is at peace, more or less, the economy beyond the Beltway is flagging after the longest run of sustained growth in history. As voters return to their regularly scheduled programming—business channels on TV and stock tickers on their PCs—they are seeing more red numbers than green. President-elect Bush may be facing his father’s bad macroeconomic luck. Bush the Elder followed Reagan’s boom, and paid for it with a recession in 1990 and a loss at the polls in 1992. Bush the Younger is following the Clinton boom (which his father’s budget deal helped create). He must pray that the sweeping tax cut he favors makes sense to Congress and Alan Greenspan—and, more important, that his economic policy works.
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For George II, history doesn’t offer much encouragement. The three 19th-century men who staggered into the White House after having lost the popular vote had troubled administrations. All were front men for rising industrial interests (for high tariffs and hard money) and responded to their precarious positions by decrying partisan warfare. In the end, all were consumed by it. The most famous Electoral College graduate was John Quincy Adams—the last son of a president to follow his dad into the job. Bush the Elder, NEWSWEEK has learned, has begun jokingly calling his son “Quincy.” If you’re Dubya, it may not be that funny; the younger Adams served just one term. HOW TO SURVIVE To survive this time, Bush would seem to need Bill Clinton’s maneuverability, Ronald Reagan’s sunny solidity and Harry Truman’s tenacity. And yet the man now heading to Washington is a self-proclaimed semipro whose main claim to fame before entering politics in 1994 was his role as a dealmaker for baseball’s Texas Rangers. It’s one thing to lower expectations, another to bury them. Now that he’s our man—and he has to be—what is there about him that gives hope that he will succeed? Bush has a canny knack for creating teams, but he can be nasty, even vindictive, to those who get in his way.
There is, to begin with, a canny knack for creating teams. Bush can be nasty, even vindictive, to those who get in his way. It’s part of the family tradition. But he’s the kind of fellow who likes to assemble a squad for the main purpose of choosing himself to lead it. At Andover, he formalized a casual stickball league, naming himself commissioner. At Yale he was not only president of his fraternity, Delta Kappa Epsilon, but unofficial king of frat-house rugby. Athletic skill wasn’t the source of his power. (He wasn’t, in fact, a great athlete.) It was his roster-writing personality—his desire to be center of attention by taking on the job of creating a team. As the eldest of four Bush sons, and the eldest in a roving pack of Bush cousins, he was only doing what came naturally. At Harvard Business School, he learned that sociability could be profitable. The school eschewed number-crunching quantitative studies in favor of group learning, with teams of students handling real-world “cases” with no “right” answer. The goal was not book smarts but cooperative problem-solving. One guru was Alfred Sloan, the legendary leader of GM, who preached the virtues of win-win partnerships. “Our view is that you learn by interacting with people,” said HBS professor and historian Richard Tedlow. You also learned to delegate—to surround yourself with the best and rise with them. At HBS, Bush wasn’t considered the most serious student, but he was elected president of a mock company that competed for schoolwide honors. Last weekend Bush began assembling a new team, in hopes of rising with it. At his ranch in Crawford, Texas, he introduced his choice for secretary of State. As Bush had long made clear, it was Colin Powell, who had been chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff in his dad’s administration. Widely respected, Powell would be the first person of color to serve in such a high-ranking job—a prize catch for a presidential candidate who got fewer than one-in-10 black votes. Bush, his eyes brimming with tears, introduced Powell as a “son of the South Bronx,” an “American hero and American example.” Powell, for his part, promised to foster a “uniquely American internationalism” that would respond to a new multicultural “world mosaic of many pieces and colors.”
December 13 — George W. Bush delivers his acceptance speech.
The rest of the roster of early recruits carried a similar and not too subtle message of inclusion. Blacks, Hispanics and women were prominent. There was Alberto Gonzales, a Texas lawyer and state Supreme Court justice, for the White House counsel. One longtime trusted aide, Karen Hughes, would be counselor to the president. Stanford professor Condoleezza Rice would be the national-security adviser. Don Evans, fund-raiser and friend, would be nominated for secretary of Commerce. BIPARTISAN APPEAL The list, overall, was geared for bipartisan appeal. Bush needed the good will of Democrats, culturally if not politically, or at least their forbearance. It’s a strategy he learned in Austin, where the lay of the political land required him to join forces with the Democrats who controlled the legislature. They thought that they controlled him, too. And, in a way, they did: he went with the flow they dictated. But he also got most of his legislation passed—welfare reform, tort reform, education reform—and was re-elected by the largest margin in Texas history. Is Bush smart enough to be a good president? Polls show that most voters think so.
Is Bush smart enough to be a good president? Polls show that most voters think so; much of the commentariat, in media and in academia, has its doubts. And indeed, Bush can be almost defiantly incurious. He doesn’t read widely, and has traveled less outside the United States than any new president in recent times. He can’t stand long memos and seems to have little interest in ideas for their own sake. When forced to study at Yale, he did so—just enough to do well enough in just enough courses to avoid embarrassment. He relished just one: John Morton Blum’s course on great leaders’ great decisions. But Bush is a quick-enough study, and in fact there is a method to his preppy casualness. At Harvard he was what is still known as a sky decker—a student who chooses to sit in the top row of the horseshoe-shaped classroom amphitheater. Sky deckers sat back and listened, taking in the scene, contributing consensus-building observation from on high. Sky deckers also had a better shot at surviving the professors’ legendary “cold calls”—demands for impromptu class presentations. From the stratosphere, you could escape notice until you’d heard the flow of the talk. It suited his methods, and even now he’d much rather learn through briefings than paper. Dubya is used to being a man of whom little is expected, his name notwithstanding. But he’s insouciant about it, even puckish. There is a doggedness to him, the wiliness of a man only too glad to recognize his limitations and operate accordingly. He tends to draw up simple schemes in fat strokes with a Sharpie pen on legal pads—and then follow them, for years if necessary. By last year it was the grinds from the front rows at HBS who were showing up to fawn over him at his high-roller fund-raising events. Bush said he knew they were surprised to see him—the tobacco-chewer in the back of the class—as a candidate for president. “Frankly,” he said, “I’m much more surprised you’re successful enough to come to this event.” They loved it. PRIVATE DOUBTS At times, in earlier years and in private, his own father seemed to doubt his eldest son’s capacity. The elder man was Phi Beta Kappa, with a sure sense of direction after heroic service in World War II. The son was indifferent and unfocused. “He is able,” Bush the Elder allowed, writing to a friend the year Dubya finished Harvard. The father hadn’t then seen the son in operation on the business and political playing fields. Now he has, and while he’s hardly an unbiased witness, he’s impressed. “George has been so good at bringing people together,” the former president told NEWSWEEK. “I think he’ll be much better [at reaching across party lines] than I was. We tried, but eventually we got polarized.” In the end what matters is not what’s in the new President Bush’s head, but in his heart. Why did he want the job anyway, other than to prove the low expectations wrong? He says he wants to unlock the faith and bootstrapping discipline of the left-behind. But how has he himself exemplified in any way the bravery he wants others to show? The answer is subtle, and not to be dismissed: a famous name is a blessing, but a prison too. He’s served his scion’s time. There was the drinking, which he quit. There was the risk of missing the grand goal his father achieved. True, Dubya had luck and family connections—from Dick Cheney to Jim Baker to Clarence Thomas. But he could have fallen flat. He didn’t. Now, finally, he will be judged for his own actions on the great stage, and it’s admirable enough that he wants to be. The first public moments of his presidency began within minutes of Gore’s phone call. The vice president, his voice thick with emotion, stepped before his family and the cameras and delivered the speech of his life: an elegiac leave-taking in which he stifled his bitterness, conceded with grace and vowed to help the new president “bring Americans together”—all without hinting that it was he, not his rival, who had won the popular vote by 337,576 souls. Then it was Bush’s turn to speak—to an adoring crowd in the Texas House of Representatives. “Our nation must rise above a house divided,” he declared, echoing Lincoln. “I was not elected to serve one party, but to serve one nation.” Reciting the words of Thomas Jefferson, founding father of the Democratic Party, Bush vowed “to stand for principle, to be reasonable in manner and, above all, to do great good for the cause of freedom and harmony.” By the time Bush finished, Gore, who hadn’t watched the speech, was partying hard back in Washington with Stevie Wonder, Tom Petty and Jon Bon Jovi. The president-elect went to bed early. “The same old pillow, of course,” he reported later. Even clutching it, he hadn’t slept well. He said it was because he was excited at the prospect of the presidency. But if he was nervous, too, that was understandable. The longest campaign was over, and George W. Bush’s life, in some ways, had just begun. © 2000 Newsweek, Inc. |