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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: William H Huebl who wrote (49704)	12/18/2000 8:45:11 AM
From: Mephisto	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

William, we are about due for that pop - surely! (gg)

To: William H Huebl who wrote (49704)	12/18/2000 4:12:31 PM
From: Skeet Shipman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Hi Bill, The pop may be over. The bond market seems to be over optimistic about rate cuts. Loans and leases have been increasing at a 15% rate for the last month, retail trade is up 5.2% over last year with autos, 7% without. Hardly the dramatic slowdown that is being publicized. The dollar held well over the weekend and today, which was the warning signal last Friday. I am still going to be watching the dollar as a good indicator that we are starting the next leg down. It may not lead the market but it will at least be coincident with a major move. Skeet