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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Murray Grummitt who wrote (5657)12/18/2000 1:09:15 PM
From: Casaubon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19219
 
check with LaVerne E. Olney



To: Murray Grummitt who wrote (5657)12/18/2000 6:39:39 PM
From: minorejoy2000  Respond to of 19219
 
Great question, Murray.
I would assume the outcomes depend on a myriad of factors influencing investor/ trader psychology, and to be different from the fact that flipping a coin heads 5 times in a row still yields a 50% chance either way the following toss. I don't have leads for you, but am very intrigued by your question.
M



To: Murray Grummitt who wrote (5657)12/19/2000 3:52:36 AM
From: EDavis  Respond to of 19219
 
Donal Sew has system that works with probabilities. He posts on the Stock Attack forum.

Message 15043432



To: Murray Grummitt who wrote (5657)12/20/2000 1:40:10 AM
From: J.T.  Respond to of 19219
 
Murray,

2,001 Stock Traders Almanac by Yale Hirsch is an annual composite of data that goes back 50 years. It gives probabilities of days up or down on the DOW, SPX and new this year I have not received my copy yet in the 2,001 Almanac is- data on the Nasdaq.

...<For decades it’s been pinpointing seasonal trends and patterns of market fluctuation with dead-on precision. More than a daily planner it’s packed with tips, quotes, and historical data that tells you when to buy, when the market is dangerous and how past market behavior should guide your current market moves>....



It is not quite exactly what you are looking for but it is as good as it gets.

Also, I think data from 1995 thru 1999 will be skewed on the Long side as far as back to back days of "UP" and now the pendulum is swinging back 2,000 and 2,001 will be skewed down.

Best Regards, J.T.