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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: limtex who wrote (25724)12/18/2000 2:13:35 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
Greenmoon understands several things:

unemployment: aint risen yet, up tiny to 4.0% and rising

labor costs: still rising, likely to stay high even if unemploymt rises

consumer spending: backtracking, and caught his attention

productivity: still good, but coming down

delivery times: not too tight
(UPS warning is a fake, still busy but with higher fuel costs)

consumer debt: still high, but margin stock debt a little lower

energy costs: used to think inflationary (wrong view), now regards as tax on economy (correct view)

foreign economies: slowing, and caught his attention

Greensheiss is in NO RUSH to cut rates
he probably worked out a deal with Bush this morning
I hope they see a topdown (rate cut) and bottomup (tax cut) approach
but suspect Bush will defer to Greenjeans to act first

one ray of strong justified hope is that as Prez Bush, he will probably offer the first energy policy in history for the USA
he comes from the OilPatch in Texas

my take/ jim