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To: Oblomov who wrote (49483)	12/20/2000 12:31:26 AM
From: pater tenebrarum	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436258

none in this case. there are several cycle predictions out there regarding bond yields, mostly based on time segment analysis. not all converge on the same date (though roughly the same time period), however, i picked the one that is closest to the expected stock market cycle turn, as well as the first rate cut...as that seems to make the most sense to me. after having reviewed some of the evidence i've come to the conclusion that there are definitely time cycles discernible in many markets...while not strictly scientific, i think they're a valuable t/a supplement, a heads-up to be on the look-out for potential turning points. i think one should keep an open mind even regarding the arcane stuff like the Bradley...i've no idea WHY that one seems to work more often than not, but it does. and it isn't even widely watched. retracement levels and time segments based on the fibonacci sequence and the ratios derived from it also work remarkably well in the markets, and while they have a wider audience which may create a self-reinforcing feedback situation, there is also no scientific evidence as to why that should be the case, something that is true for all t/a. all we have is empirical evidence, and my guess is that this will remain so for the foreseeable future.... good night!