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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jmanvegas who wrote (26183)12/20/2000 8:57:57 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 65232
 
JMan, thanks for your view
I think each Naz rally will be weak
every third rally will be stronger
short the Naz when the downtrend upper boundary approached
that upper boundary is now somewhere around 2770-2800
gonna be hard to get that high each time

Naz will continue to descend UNTIL THE FIRST RATE CUT
not before, not on expectation of interim hike

earnings declines yr/yr are next, not deceleration
and the waves starting in January will be unrelenting

an interim hikes comes only in response to panic
NOT to prevent a panic

I think 2000-2200 will be the lows
in a panic, I think 1850-1900
sometime in midJanuary when panic sets in
/ jim