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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jmootx who wrote (64828)12/20/2000 9:01:46 PM
From: Wayners  Respond to of 99985
 
We are at 60% now

Not quite. We're at -53.2% on the Naz. In 1974 the Naz was off 59% at the bottom. Also have to make adjustments for purchasing power of money. The 1973-1974 bear was by far the next worst bear to 1929.



To: jmootx who wrote (64828)12/20/2000 9:16:46 PM
From: Casaubon  Respond to of 99985
 
since they did not cost him/her next to nothing

that is a fallacy. They are essentially compensation with the expectation of higher income at a foward dated time for superior productivity. The options will always be worthless unless value is provided to the expense bearer (investors).

I consider my options grants as pay in lieu of ordinary income. In fact, I could go to some stodgy old company and get a higher salary with no options compensation but opt not to do so. I have held worthless options for many years! The fact is, options are taxed as ordinary income. All income is a shared expense of the shareholders.

I do agree, though, that options grants should be expensed somehow, by the companies granting them.

Like any option, there is time value associated with the option grant. So, selling at any price by option holders is effectively a vote of no confidence in the future of the company.



To: jmootx who wrote (64828)12/20/2000 10:55:02 PM
From: Mike M  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
We aren't at 60% of anything yet...Certainly not the S&P 500, or the Dow...The NAZ is close but still no cigar. I think your pessimism is warranted but certainly no done deal. The NAZ will have to print below 2080 for me to buy "this ain't a dip".... Could happen, but I doubt it.

I may be, bearish to a fault and mad as hell at Greenspan, but far from giving up....