To: Ilaine who wrote (50719 ) 12/22/2000 11:29:29 AM From: Ilaine Respond to of 436258 U.S. Factories Busier, Spending Up in November By Glenn Somerville WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. factories were busier last month and consumers kept pushing up their spending, the government said on Friday in reports that showed the gradually slowing economy still has underlying strength. The Commerce Department said the value of new orders for all types of long-lasting durable goods, from refrigerators to airplanes, was up 2.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted $210.94 billion last month. It did not fully recover October's 6.5 percent drop in orders but did beat Wall Street analysts' expectations for a 1.6 percent gain. Separately, Commerce also reported that consumer incomes were up 0.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $8.44 trillion last month, recovering from a revised 0.1 percent decline in October. That enabled shoppers to boost their spending by 0.3 percent to $6.905 trillion in November after a 0.4 percent rise in October. Spending Not Drying Up So far, anecdotal reports from merchants suggest the key holiday sales season from Thanksgiving through Christmas has been a lackluster one. The government report, however, showed that spending was not drying up. ``As long as incomes remain ahead of inflation, the consumer is going to have more money to spend, more things to buy, and that's going to keep consumer sentiment from declining by too much,'' said economist Paul Christopher of A.G. Edwards and Sons Inc. in St. Louis, Mo. Some of the spending was supported by draining savings, a development that analysts warn increases a slowing economy's vulnerability to a sharp downturn if jobs become scarcer. The personal savings rate was a negative 0.8 percent in November -- a record low -- after being down 0.7 percent in October. Federal Reserve policymakers decided this week that the biggest risk the economy faces now was of a sharp downturn, signaling they were preparing to cut interest rates next year. Most of the pickup in November factory orders was centered in transportation products, especially aircraft. Transportation orders that account for more than one-fifth of monthly business were up 9.1 percent to $48.12 billion after plunging 17.3 percent in October. It was the biggest monthly rise in transportation orders since a 41.6 percent jump in June. But without transportation, November durables orders gained a slim 0.4 percent after dropping 3.1 percent in October. Christopher of A.G. Edwards and Co. said the orders report did not imply a recovery in manufacturing, which looks set to weaken in coming months. Manufacturing Still Sliding ``We think manufacturing still has a ways to fall further,'' he said. ``Fortunately that doesn't have to portend a decline for the overall economy since the service side is still doing quite well.'' Bond prices were lower after the reports were issued, with the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond off 11/32 point to yield 5.44 percent and the 10-year note down 9/32 and yielding 5.08 percent. Trading in stock and bond was expected to be light in a pre-holiday session. Commerce said that orders for electronic and electrical equipment rose 4.5 percent to $40.03 billion last month, partly recovering from an 11.4 percent October drop. Shipments of durable goods, taken as a gauge of current factory activity, weakened by 1.2 percent in November to $207.34 billion. That followed a 2 percent decrease in October and implied that many businesses were experiencing a gradual fall-off in factory-floor activity in line with the slowdown in national economic activity. dailynews.yahoo.com