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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bruce Brown who wrote (36951)12/23/2000 6:52:43 AM
From: d  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
 
OT, as not pure GG'ing---

Hi Bruce,

RE: Your questions about the Bob Brinker call---

Questions dealing with tax consequences:

ANSWER: Not relevant in my specific case, as this is tax-deferred money.

Questions as to "How is it going with the QQQ call"

ANSWER: This one is going badly, so far. Depending on when
one got the newsletter (or the news of his call), if one
acted immediately, one bought in the low-mid 80's. I got
the call a little late, and made my first buy in the high
70's. I've continued to buy on the way down, having done my
most recent buy in the high 50's on Thursday.

I'll say 3 things about all this:

1. Nothing/nobody is always right as to timing. I followed
this call of Brinker's, and- so far - I am negative on this
portion of my investment program. I don't hold Bob
accountable for this reduction in worth.

2. Brinker does better on his long-term recs than on his
short term ones. I give him great credit for taking me
mostly out of the market in Jan. I have stayed mostly out
ever since (though I've stayed in my gorillas and a few
others); the QQQ investment is only a small part of what I
had in the market last year.

3. I didn't answer the query in the spirit of "Look what a
great strategy I have." It was more like, "Here's what one
(partial) GG'er does besides GG'ing." I'm retired, and I'm
not willing to put all my eggs in one basket.
(e.g., strategy)

As with LTB&H folks, I won't measure the success of this
multi-pronged approach in one year, but I'll measure it over
several years. Unlike some of the dot-coms, I'm reasonably
confident (though nothing is assured) that QQQ will be well
above the 80's within a few years, if not a few months. But,
whenever Brinker says sell QQQ, I'll probably do so, and
hold that money as cash until he calls another counter-trend
rally, or until he calls MOABO (Mother of All Buying
Opportunities - i.e., the bear market bottom, or near-
bottom) When Bob calls MOABO, I'll commit much of my other
cash (now in bonds and MM's) too.

d

PS: Bruce, I've greatly enjoyed, and profited from, your
posts over the months. Ditto all the other posters who
have given so much to us lurkers on this board. IMO, this
is, by far, the best board on all of SI.

I would have responded to the "What's your portfolio"
survey, but time ran out before I got it done. I'll just say
that the GG portion of my portfolio is similar to the
average of what was posted. My GG stuff, overall, is down
this year, largely because of overinvestment in QCOM. (Which
I am holding, of course) I hold no one accountable for the
negative performance of my GG portfolio except myself.



To: Bruce Brown who wrote (36951)12/23/2000 9:10:56 AM
From: Larry Grzemkowski  Respond to of 54805
 
Hi BB

You said
I don't know when his call was, but I was somewhat aware of it simply because my brother-in-law follows Brinker. I would be curious as to when the exact date of his suggestion to sell the QQQ was. What price was the QQQ trading at that time?

I received BOB's special letter to buy QQQ on 10/16. The letter said to buy immediately. I was about 60% cash at the time so I placed a market order to buy with 30% of my cash and the price I got was 83-1/8, the next day (10/17). Those are the facts. Now in later shows BOB talked about buying in the mid to low 70's but the special letter did not say that. I could tell it was a poor call so on 11/1 I sold 1/2 my position at 82-1/2.
I continue to hold the other half in a nontaxable account and have been buying down to the bottom in an AIM account. My cost basis in that account is 74, which is where BOB thought would be a good entry point after the fact (special letter).

Hope this helps.

Larry G