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To: Lost to Voodoo who wrote (8717)12/23/2000 1:12:04 PM
From: Poet  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10876
 
Thank you for your take on things, Vood. It looks like some of us are in agreement. <g>

Hey, I hope this gets to you before you leave: please enjoy your holidays, engage in some gallivanting and accept this holiday smooch from me. :)



To: Lost to Voodoo who wrote (8717)12/23/2000 4:18:21 PM
From: Poet  Respond to of 10876
 
On the January effect, a snippet from today's Barron's:


So, how will the S&P 500 fare in 2001? That's impossible to say. But with a
new Congress coming in, along with a new President, the probability is high
that the key index's performance next month will tell the tale for the
remainder of the year.

Based on the Barometer's track record, a January stumble on Wall Street would
be particularly ominous. If the S&P, which, by the middle of last week, was
down almost 14% this year, is off next month and then has a decline equal to
the 9.9% average downturn seen in the February-December stretches of the
seven years mentioned above, the index would slide below 1221.97. That would
mark a 20% decline from the high of 1527.46 reached last March. Then,
undoubtedly, we'd be in a full-blown bear market.