"Superconductors Ready to Deliver the Goods"
thestreet.com
Years After the Hype,Superconductors Ready to Deliver the Goods" By James Brookes-Avey
Special to TheStreet.com 12/28/00 12:50 PM ET
Fourteen years ago, Time's cover story boldly proclaimed superconductors -- materials which lose all resistance to the flow of direct-current electricity and often produce powerful magnetic fields -- were set to change the world. Investors have been keeping a patient vigil ever since.
Finally, it looks like their patience is going to be rewarded. After years of struggling to tame the technology, scientists and engineers have begun to use superconducting materials to achieve performance improvements in high-capacity power cables and coils for motors and generators, and filters and amplifiers for wireless communications base stations. Other developments that can serve as showpiece demonstrations of the technology, like high-speed magnetic-levitation trains, are on the horizon.
We'll take a look at some of the opportunities technically savvy investors are finding in the field, but first, a brief backgrounder on superconductivity.
The Coolest Technology
Superconductivity was discovered in 1911, by Dutch physicist Heike Kamerlingh Onnes, who used liquid helium to cool mercury to just 4 degrees Kelvin, barely above absolute zero (the coldest temperature possible). At such extreme cold, the metal lost all resistance to electricity. Later, scientists discovered superconductors could repel magnetic fields, suspending tiny magnets aloft by no other visible means of support.
In time, as scientists gained a fuller understanding, they saw that superconducting materials' electrons, rather than randomly colliding and dissipating energy away in the form of resistive heat, behaved more like slipstreaming race cars.
Super-efficient superconducting materials promised billions of dollars in energy savings and new engineering marvels like efficient high-tension power lines, fusion reactors and electric generators and motors a fraction of the size and cost of existing models.
But the true breakthrough came in 1986, when the critical transition temperature barrier (the temperature below which a material must be cryogenically cooled before superconductivity can occur) was dramatically raised. IBM (IBM:NYSE - news) researchers in Switzerland created a ceramic compound of lanthanum, barium, copper and oxygen, which superconducted at 30 degrees Kelvin. Substituting yttrium for lanthanum, creating YBCO (short for YBa2Cu3O7-d), rocketed the critical transition temperature up to 92 degrees Kelvin. Although still extremely cold, such a high temperature superconductor (HTS) was well above the threshold 77 Kelvin level of liquid nitrogen (which is much cheaper, more plentiful and easier to use than liquid helium), thus making widespread commercial applications of superconductors feasible at last.
Soon afterward, thousands of superconducting metals, alloys and compounds were discovered, although mixes had to be made just right: YBCO with 6.4 atoms of oxygen won't superconduct, but with 6.5 atoms, it will. Industry took note, and a host of players sprang forth, including Sumitomo Electric Industries, Oxford Instruments, Denmark's Nordic Superconductor, B.I.C.C., Southwire, Conductus (CDTS:Nasdaq - news) and Illinois Superconductor (ISCO:OTC BB).
But then temperature thresholds stopped rising. The brittle ceramic compounds remained stubbornly difficult to produce in consistent quantity, machine into wires and accept high currents over meaningful lengths of time. Stymied, America's interest largely turned to more promising forms of science, like the Internet and the Human Genome Project, even as the demand for electricity swelled by 35% between 1987 and today, and the quality of power delivered became an important issue.
Commercial Success: The MRI
One company not deterred, though, was Intermagnetics General (IMG:Amex - news). In business for 29 years, IMG makes low-temperature superconductor (LTS) wires, electromagnets and radio-frequency coils used mostly in hospital magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) machines, superconductors' first commercial success.
MRIs work by impinging hydrogen atoms in the human body's water and fat molecules with a powerful magnetic field, then knocking them temporarily out of alignment with a pulse of radio waves. Radiation emitted back by the atoms when they return to their previous attitudes builds a detailed, noninvasive picture of the patient's soft tissues. Intermagnetics' LTS wire can be found inside most of the world's MRI machines.
By largely sticking to its knitting, Intermagnetics has racked up a three-year compound annual growth rate in earnings per share of 32% -- reasonable for a growth stock, but virtually unheard of in this field -- and is cash flow positive. |