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To: Libbyt who wrote (4494)12/29/2000 2:07:45 PM
From: Bill Harmond  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57684
 
No I haven't. I figure if smart money was willing to buy SCON converts at 19 a couple months ago, the stock is down on liquidity issues.



To: Libbyt who wrote (4494)12/30/2000 8:08:53 PM
From: Libbyt  Respond to of 57684
 
Lessons learned from a volatile year...

This articles was taken from the Bull Market report. IMO it has some good points to "think about".

Libbyt

The Bull Market Report - bullmarket.com

THE BULL MARKET REPORT DAILY FOR THURSDAY, DECEMBER 28TH, 2000
Volume 37, #17

This being our last issue of The Bull Market Report for the 2000 calendar
year, we’ve decided to close out with a brief story on the lessons that
every investor should take away from this volatile year. For technology
investors, the year 2000 represented both the best of times and the worst
of times. Although things couldn’t have looked any better in March, the
Nasdaq will most likely finish out the year with its worst performance in
history. As of this writing, the tech-laden index has lost nearly 40%.

As the year draws to a close, we always like to go back over some of the
things that we learned this year so as to avoid the same mistakes in the
future. So, in short order, we learned the following twelve things this
year:

1. Interest rates matter.
-- This one needs no explanation.

2. Asset allocation matters.
-- Technology enthusiasts learned that Utility and Drug stocks can be
exciting. Even if they were only 10% of your portfolio, at least that 10%
would have gained 30% on the year.

3. If you can’t understand why a company is valued where it is, then it
probably isn’t valued correctly.
-- This is for all of those fundamentalists who kept wondering why
earnings seemed irrelevant.

4. Stop-Loss orders sometimes come in handy.
-- This is a touchy subject. Although fundamentalists would argue that
when a stock falls (while the company and its future prospects remain
intact) it should become an even better BUY, it’s hard to ignore the fact
that stop-loss orders could have saved our butts this year.

5. Keeping a certain percentage of your portfolio in cash is a good idea.
-- Bargain hunting is tough to do when you’re out of money.

6. The market tends to swing too far in both directions.
-- When things seem too good to be true (remember March), they probably
are. When it seems like everything is falling apart (now), it’s time to
buy.

7. If one lone analyst disagrees with the rest of the Street, you should
listen to what that analyst has to say.
-- This situation happened over and over again, where we saw one analyst
lead the pack when calling for a slowdown in a certain sector.

8. There are ways to make money in down markets.
-- Short selling, buying puts, selling calls. These are all valuable
tools, and we should use them once in a while.

9. Patience.
-- Investors who have this will be rewarded handsomely next year.

10. Impatience
-- If you’re going to get out, get out at the first sign of an earnings
shortfall or accounting irregularity. This rule could have saved us a
great deal of pain this year.

11. Remember to appreciate what you have and learn to forget what you
have lost.
-- The markets are not without risk, and this year was proof positive of
that fact. But don’t let it discourage you. Over the long haul, the
stock market has consistently outperformed all other investment vehicles,
and it will continue to do so in the future. Don’t let one bad year
scare you away from a historical fact -­ the stock market is simply the
best place for your money.

12. Don’t go it alone.
-- In the late 1990’s, it seemed like anyone with an online brokerage
account thought they could match wits with the best financial minds in the
country. When everything is going up, investing is easy. But the hard
times are when investors need the most guidance. Through the efforts of
our team of journalists and dedicated research staff, The Bull Market
Report will be there every step of the way to provide that guidance in
2001.