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To: Lucretius who wrote (52288)12/29/2000 1:06:59 PM
From: MythMan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
maybe to the upside -g-



To: Lucretius who wrote (52288)12/29/2000 2:11:54 PM
From: Eashoa' M'sheekha  Respond to of 436258
 
No Crash -- Up – Or - Down In Most Of 2001.

Get ready for the most boooorrriinngg six to eight months of market activity since some time now.The hard landing - soft landing scenario is tilted towards hard here for the next six months , so most passengers will remain in their seats till the plane has come to a full stop, and the escape-ways are inflated and deployed.

Small short rallies on interest rate easing or anticipation there-of, and sideways to down on earnings of most companies will be the trend for this period, with a few exceptions such as the optics early on.

The TAX relief by Dubya will take longer than the election to get through,and we know how long that sucker took.UGH!<g>

Oil will remain range - bound close to present levels, thanks to OPEC adjustments.
Natural gas is peaking right now and should subside over the next month or so.

Inflation will remain close to present levels , with indications of deflationary pressure later in the half , as less money chases more goods, and tech continues to lower costs.

Gold will continue to mostly SUCK as long as the anti-gold agenda remains in place.Expect more consolidation this year.Trade the blips, as usual.

Most commodities ( CRB ) will remain about the same.Soy to get real cheap and metals to move lower , except palladium, as usual.

USD to touch 100 on the Index within the next six months. The EURO to get back to 100 within the same time period.

Canadian to test $.70 and A$ to test $.60. The yen will continue to be weak , but gain some from here.

Unemployment rate to reach 4.5 in US before any trend reversal , with Europe showing more growth than in past and money flows back to EURO countries in line with trend.China to be a bright spot in tech. and telecom growth.Russia to show signs of recovery on the back of Oil deals with Europe.

Expect more innuendo regarding North American Economic BLOC, that could extend further into immigration and tri-lateral trade barriers being revised, and more talk of Monetary Union..etc..

(I always wanted to be a YANK..not a Socialist.( heh heh )

All in all... a pretty BIG YAWN.

The January effect may become the January defect this year.

That’s' the view from up here in Outer-Space.

See you folks some time later next year.

I have REAL work to do on a big telecom project. Yahoo!

PS: Luc.....the " Crash " has mostly already happened in tech , but a 2000 level test is in the cards.The DOW looks like a good target towards 9000 though.Well...maybe.

Happy Boring New Year..!

PPS: Am i bAnNeD nOw ?